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AAL · CIK 0000006201

What American Airlines Group Inc. told the SEC could break it.

American's register is led by the costs and suppliers it can't easily control. Jet fuel is one of its single largest expenses — a one-cent move in price shifts forecasted 2026 fuel costs by about $50 million, against spot prices that swung from $1.83 to $3.82 a gallon over 2023-2025. Its fleet comes from just a handful of manufacturers (Airbus and Boeing for mainline, Embraer and Bombardier for regional), where limited suppliers, capacity constraints and long lead times threaten timely delivery — a vulnerability sharpened by U.S. tariffs on aircraft from Brazil, the sole source of its new regional jets. Beneath those sit operational and regulatory exposures: substantially all flights run through nine domestic hubs, and FAA consumer-protection rules could add compliance costs and penalties.

5 self-disclosed vulnerabilities, pulled from its own filings — each in the company’s words, with the source. This is the risk register almost nobody reads.

In its own words

What could break it.

Regulatory & policy

  • U.S. tariffs on Brazil (sole source of new regional jets)medium

    Tariffs on aircraft from Brazil — the sole source of American's new regional jets (Embraer) — raise costs and threaten the regional fleet supply chain.

    In addition, we source a portion of our aircraft, aircraft engines and parts from outside the U.S., and any tariffs imposed may lead to higher costs, negatively affect our supply chains and adversely affect our business and results of operations. For example, there are presently in place tariffs on certain goods, including aircraft, from Brazil, which is the sole source of our new regional jets.

    SEC filing →As of 2026
  • FAA Authorization Renewal consumer-protection ruleslow

    The FAA Authorization Renewal codified consumer-protection rulemakings that could be costly to implement; new fees, compliance costs and penalties could adversely impact operations (OBBBA added $12.5B for ATC modernization).

    The FAA Authorization Renewal also codified several consumer protection rulemakings that could be challenging to implement and have negative financial impacts. Any new or enhanced requirements resulting from the FAA Authorization Renewal, including any new fees, costs we may be required to incur to comply with new rules and compensation or other penalties we may be required to pay for violations of such rules, have the potential to increase our costs or adversely impact our operation.

    SEC filing →As of 2026

Commodity & input dependence

  • aircraft fuel (jet fuel) pricemedium

    Aircraft fuel is one of American's largest single cost items; a 1-cent/gallon move shifts 2026 fuel expense ~$50M, and spot prices ranged $1.83–$3.82/gal across 2023–2025.

    Aircraft Fuel Our operations and financial results are materially affected by the availability and price of aircraft fuel, which represents one of the largest single cost items in our business. Based on our 2026 forecasted mainline and regional fuel consumption, we estimate that a one cent per gallon increase in the price of aircraft fuel would increase our 2026 annual fuel expense by approximately $50 million.

Supplier concentration

  • aircraft manufacturer duopoly (Airbus/Boeing; Embraer/Bombardier)medium

    American's fleet is sourced from a handful of manufacturers (Airbus/Boeing mainline, Embraer/Bombardier regional); limited suppliers, constrained capacity and long lead times threaten timely delivery of aircraft on order.

    Due to the limited number of suppliers, constraints on production capacity, large order books and long production lead times, manufacturers have faced and are expected to continue to face challenges in timely fulfilling our aircraft on order, and we may face competition from other carriers in securing an adequate supply of aircraft in the future.

    SEC filing →As of 2026

Geographic concentration

  • hub concentration / United Stateslow

    Substantially all of American's flights originate at or fly into nine domestic hubs plus partner gateways; a disruption at one hub could materially impact operations, and substantially all pre-tax income is U.S.-attributable.

    We operate principally through our hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix and Washington, D.C. and partner gateways including London Heathrow (among others). Substantially all of our flights either originate at or fly into one of these locations.

The hidden graph

Who it depends on, and who depends on it.

Relationships surfaced from filings — including ones disclosed by the other side, which is how the non-obvious ones come to light.

Its customers

  • Aer Lingus

    American has established a transatlantic joint business with British Airways, Aer Lingus, Iberia and Finnair, a transpacific joint business with Japan Airlines and a joint business relating to Australia and New Zealand with Qantas Airways.

    Cited →
  • Qantas Airways

    American has established a transatlantic joint business with British Airways, Aer Lingus, Iberia and Finnair, a transpacific joint business with Japan Airlines and a joint business relating to Australia and New Zealand with Qantas Airways.

    Cited →
  • Finnair

    American has established a transatlantic joint business with British Airways, Aer Lingus, Iberia and Finnair, a transpacific joint business with Japan Airlines and a joint business relating to Australia and New Zealand with Qantas Airways.

    Cited →
  • Japan Airlines

    American has established a transatlantic joint business with British Airways, Aer Lingus, Iberia and Finnair, a transpacific joint business with Japan Airlines and a joint business relating to Australia and New Zealand with Qantas Airways.

    Cited →
  • British Airways

    American has established a transatlantic joint business with British Airways, Aer Lingus, Iberia and Finnair, a transpacific joint business with Japan Airlines and a joint business relating to Australia and New Zealand with Qantas Airways.

    Cited →
  • Iberia

    American has established a transatlantic joint business with British Airways, Aer Lingus, Iberia and Finnair, a transpacific joint business with Japan Airlines and a joint business relating to Australia and New Zealand with Qantas Airways.

    Cited →

Its suppliers

  • Airbus SE

    For example, all of our mainline aircraft were manufactured by either Airbus or Boeing and all of our regional aircraft were manufactured by either Bombardier or Embraer.

    Cited →
  • Bombardier Inc.

    For example, all of our mainline aircraft were manufactured by either Airbus or Boeing and all of our regional aircraft were manufactured by either Bombardier or Embraer. Further, our supplier base continues to consolidate as evidenced by the cessation of production of Bombardier regional aircraft that we and our regional partners currently operate in large numbers.

    Cited →
  • Embraer S.A.

    For example, all of our mainline aircraft were manufactured by either Airbus or Boeing and all of our regional aircraft were manufactured by either Bombardier or Embraer.

    Cited →
  • SkyWest, Inc.

    Substantially all of our flights are operated as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska Airlines flights under code-share agreements with United, Delta, American or Alaska, respectively.

    Cited →
  • The Boeing Company

    For example, all of our mainline aircraft were manufactured by either Airbus or Boeing and all of our regional aircraft were manufactured by either Bombardier or Embraer.

    Cited →

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