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CARR · CIK 0001783180

What Carrier Global Corporation told the SEC could break it.

Carrier's disclosures cluster on the cost and reliability of what goes into its products. It depends on commodity markets for copper, aluminum and steel and on suppliers for components like motors and valves — with no commodity hedges in place at year-end 2025 — and some key parts and proprietary components are available only from single or limited sources it couldn't quickly replace. Trade policy compounds this: more restrictive U.S. and foreign tariffs, notably on China and Mexico, weighed on it, though in 2025 it fully offset the impact through supply-chain adjustments, productivity and about $200 million of incremental pricing. Separately, it carries legacy PFAS litigation tied to the 'National Foam' firefighting-foam business it inherited through its 2020 separation.

4 self-disclosed vulnerabilities, pulled from its own filings — each in the company’s words, with the source. This is the risk register almost nobody reads.

In its own words

What could break it.

Commodity & input dependence

  • copper, aluminum, steel and components (motors, valves) — unhedgedmedium

    Carrier depends on commodity markets and suppliers for raw materials (copper, aluminum, steel), components (motors, valves), and finished goods, exposing it to price/availability volatility — and it had no commodity hedge contracts in place at Dec 31, 2025.

    Our reliance on suppliers and commodity markets to secure components (such as motors and valves), finished goods (including products purchased directly from suppliers for resale), and raw materials (such as copper, aluminum and steel), as well as on service providers to deliver our products, exposes us to volatility in the prices and availability of these materials, products, and services.

    SEC filing →As of 2026

Litigation

  • AFFF / National Foam firefighting-foam (PFAS) litigationmedium

    Carrier inherited (via the 2020 Separation) Kidde Fire Fighting's legacy 'National Foam' AFFF firefighting-foam business — a source of PFAS-related litigation tied to a West Chester, Pennsylvania facility — despite KFI having divested the AFFF business in 2013.

    The lawsuits identified above relate to Kidde Fire Fighting, Inc., which owned the "National Foam" business that manufactured AFFF for sale to government (including the U.S. federal government) and non-government customers in the U.S. at a single facility located in West Chester, Pennsylvania (the "Pennsylvania Site"). Kidde Fire Fighting, Inc. was acquired by a UTC subsidiary in 2005 and merged into KFI in 2007. In 2013, KFI divested the AFFF businesses to an unrelated third party. The Company acquired KFI as part of the Separation in April 2020.

    SEC filing →As of 2026

Regulatory & policy

  • tariffs / trade policy (China, Mexico) — ~$200M pricing offset in 2025medium

    More restrictive U.S. and foreign trade policies/tariffs (notably China and Mexico) have hurt Carrier in the past; in 2025 it fully mitigated tariff impact via supply-chain adjustments, productivity, and ~$200M of incremental pricing, but future exposure remains.

    Based on our updated analysis, we fully mitigated the impact of tariffs during 2025 through a combination of supply-chain adjustments, productivity initiatives and approximately $200 million of incremental product pricing actions. To date, tariffs have not had a material impact on our business and we are deploying additional strategies, including cost containment measures, to limit future exposure in the current market environment.

Sole-source dependency

  • single-source / limited-source key parts and proprietary componentsmedium

    Some key parts and finished goods are available only from a single supplier or a limited group of suppliers, and certain proprietary component parts come from single-source unaffiliated third parties that Carrier would be unable to obtain for an extended period if disrupted.

    Because some key parts and finished goods may be available only from a single supplier or a limited group of suppliers, we are subject to supply and pricing risk. In addition, certain proprietary component parts used in some of our products are provided by single-source unaffiliated third-party suppliers.

    SEC filing →As of 2026

The hidden graph

Who it depends on, and who depends on it.

Relationships surfaced from filings — including ones disclosed by the other side, which is how the non-obvious ones come to light.

Its customers

  • Watsco, Inc.

    We have an 80% controlling interest in TEC, and Carrier has a 20% non-controlling interest. Combined, our joint ventures with Carrier represented 53% of our revenues in 2025.

    Cited →

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