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EPM · CIK 1006655

What Evolution Petroleum Corp. told the SEC could break it.

Evolution Petroleum's results depend entirely on oil, natural gas and NGL prices set by a global market it cannot control — driven by OPEC, geopolitics such as the Russia-Ukraine and Middle East conflicts, demand, and government tariff, sanction and energy policy. As a non-operator it also doesn't run its own wells, relying on third-party field operators, oilfield-service vendors and carriers, generally without long-term agreements, which limits its control over production and costs. Its financing leans on a Senior Secured Credit Facility ($65 million borrowing base, $37.5 million drawn) secured by substantially all its oil and gas properties and subject to lender redeterminations tied to property values, and it flags climate regulation including the Inflation Reduction Act's methane Waste Emissions Charge.

4 self-disclosed vulnerabilities, pulled from its own filings — each in the company’s words, with the source. This is the risk register almost nobody reads.

In its own words

What could break it.

Liquidity & debt

  • senior secured credit facility (borrowing-base redetermined; all properties pledged)medium

    Evolution's Senior Secured Credit Facility (borrowing base $65M, $37.5M drawn) is secured by substantially all its oil & gas properties and subject to lender borrowing-base redeterminations tied to property values.

    The Senior Secured Credit Facility is secured by substantially all of our oil and natural gas properties and matures on June 30, 2028.

    SEC filing →As of 2025

Regulatory & policy

  • IRA methane Waste Emissions Charge & energy/climate regulationmedium

    The Inflation Reduction Act created incentives discouraging oil & gas use, including a methane Waste Emissions Charge (statutorily $900/ton 2024, $1,200/ton 2025) on excess emissions, plus broader tariff/trade/energy regulation risk.

    By statute, the charge would have been $900 per metric ton of methane for 2024, $1,200 per metric ton for 2025, and

    SEC filing →As of 2025

Commodity & input dependence

  • crude oil / natural gas / NGL priceslow

    Evolution's revenue depends entirely on oil, natural gas and NGL prices set by a global market driven by regulation, OPEC, geopolitics and demand — all beyond its control.

    The oil and natural gas industry is a global market impacted by many factors, such as government regulations, particularly in the areas of tariffs, trade sanctions, taxation, energy, climate change and the environment, geopolitical instability and armed conflicts (including between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East between Israel and Gaza), demand in Asian and European markets, and the extent to which members of OPEC and other

Other disclosures

  • non-operator dependence on third-party operators, vendors and carrierslow

    As a non-operator, Evolution relies on third-party field operators, oilfield-service vendors, material providers and carriers it does not control, generally without long-term agreements — limiting its control over production and costs.

    Our business plan to develop or redevelop oil and natural gas resources requires third-party oilfield service vendors and various material providers, which we do not control. We also rely on third-party carriers for the transportation and distribution of our oil and natural gas production.

    SEC filing →As of 2025

The hidden graph

Who it depends on, and who depends on it.

Relationships surfaced from filings — including ones disclosed by the other side, which is how the non-obvious ones come to light.

Its suppliers

  • Merit Energy Company

    is operated by Merit Energy Company (“Merit”), a private oil and natural gas company, who owns the majority of the remaining working interest in the Hamilton Dome Field.

    Cited →
  • PEDEVCO Corp.

    the Company entered into a Participation Agreement with PEDEVCO for the joint development of a portion of PEDEVCO's Permian Basin property in the Chaveroo Field, located in Chaves and Roosevelt Counties, New Mexico.

    Cited →
  • Texian Operating Company

    The oil and natural gas properties are operated by Texian Operating Company.

    Cited →
  • Exxon Mobil Corporation (Denbury Onshore LLC)

    The field is operated by Denbury Onshore LLC, a subsidiary of Exxon Mobil Corporation.

    Cited →

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