← All companies

FOR · CIK 0001406587

What Forestar Group Inc. told the SEC could break it.

Nearly everything Forestar flagged traces back to a single relationship: its dependence on D.R. Horton, which is both its dominant customer and its controlling shareholder. Lot sales to D.R. Horton were $1,277.6 million of fiscal 2025's roughly $1.66 billion in total revenue — about 77% — and because D.R. Horton also controls the company and guides its strategy through tax-sharing and shared-services arrangements, the concentration carries related-party conflict risk (a stockholder derivative suit was filed in April 2025). Beyond that, its capital-intensive land-development model depends on debt financing under restrictive senior-note covenants, on extensive land-use, entitlement and environmental regulation, and on third-party subcontractors who perform substantially all of its development work.

4 self-disclosed vulnerabilities, pulled from its own filings — each in the company’s words, with the source. This is the risk register almost nobody reads.

In its own words

What could break it.

Customer concentration

  • D.R. Horton is both controlling shareholder and dominant customer — ~$1,277.6M of ~$1,662.4M total revenue (≈77%)high

    Forestar is overwhelmingly dependent on D.R. Horton — lot sales to D.R. Horton were $1,277.6 million of $1,543.2 million residential-lot revenue (and ~77% of total $1,662.4M revenue) in fiscal 2025, with $2.0 billion of lots under contract — and D.R. Horton is also its controlling shareholder, guiding its strategy under a Tax Sharing Agreement and shared-services arrangements; this concentration and related-party control create dependence and conflict-of-interest risk (a stockholder derivative suit was filed in April 2025).

    Revenues from lot sales to D.R. Horton $ 1,277.6 $ 1,271.4 Revenues from lot sales to customers other than D.R. Horton 265.6 185.0 $ 1,543.2 $ 1,456.4

    SEC filing →As of 2025

Liquidity & debt

  • senior-notes debt (2033 notes; refinanced/redeemed $400M 2026 notes) with restrictive covenants; growth depends on accessing financingmedium

    Forestar funds land acquisition and development with debt — it tendered/redeemed its $400 million 3.85% 2026 senior notes and carries 2033 senior notes whose indenture restricts incurring debt, liens, mergers, asset sales and affiliate transactions — and its ability to achieve long-term growth depends on obtaining financing in sufficient amounts; covenant breaches or tighter capital markets could constrain its capital-intensive model.

    Our ability to achieve our long-term growth objectives will depend on our ability to obtain financing in sufficient amounts.

    SEC filing →As of 2025

Regulatory & policy

  • extensive land-development, entitlement, environmental and OSHA regulation of operations and subcontractorsmedium

    Forestar's land-acquisition and development operations are subject to extensive and complex regulation — entitlement/zoning, environmental provisions (with hazardous-materials and remediation exposure), and OSHA safety requirements applying to it and its subcontractors; non-compliance or new environmental/land-use restrictions could cause delays, fines and increased development costs.

    Our operations are subject to extensive and complex regulations. We, and our subcontra

    SEC filing →As of 2025

Supplier concentration

  • substantially all land-development work performed by third-party subcontractorsmedium

    Forestar performs substantially all of its land-development work through third-party subcontractors selected via competitive bidding; while this is contract-based, the company depends on subcontractor availability, pricing and performance (and requires them to maintain their own OSHA safety programs), so labor/subcontractor shortages or cost inflation could delay lot deliveries and pressure margins.

    Substantially all of our land development work is performed by subcontractors. Subcontractors typically are selected after a competitive bidding process pursuant to a contract that obligates the subcontractor to complete the scope of work at an agreed-upon price and within a specified time frame.

    SEC filing →As of 2025

The hidden graph

Who it depends on, and who depends on it.

Relationships surfaced from filings — including ones disclosed by the other side, which is how the non-obvious ones come to light.

Its customers

  • D.R. Horton, Inc.

    Revenues from lot sales to D.R. Horton $ 1,277.6 $ 1,271.4 Revenues from lot sales to customers other than D.R. Horton 265.6 185.0 $ 1,543.2 $ 1,456.4

    Cited →

In the MyPRIA app, this is checked against the companies you actually own.

← World Watch