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FSLR · CIK 1274494

What First Solar, Inc. told the SEC could break it.

First Solar's disclosures pull in two directions that meet at trade policy. On the input side, the materials its cadmium-telluride modules depend on — tellurium, CdTe, substrate glass, and custom manufacturing equipment — are single- or limited-sourced, and tellurium in particular is dominated by China, whose expanded 2025 export controls could choke supply. On the output side, its manufacturing fleet spans Vietnam, India, and Malaysia, all hit by 2025 U.S. tariffs (and Section 122 duties after the Supreme Court struck the IEEPA versions), raising costs and impairing its ability to sell those overseas-made modules into the U.S. Beneath that sits customer concentration, with Silicon Ranch and NextEra Energy each at 10% or more of module sales.

5 self-disclosed vulnerabilities, pulled from its own filings — each in the company’s words, with the source. This is the risk register almost nobody reads.

In its own words

What could break it.

Commodity & input dependence

  • tellurium (China-dominated, export-control exposed)high

    Tellurium (core to CdTe modules) is largely produced by China, where exporters need a Ministry of Commerce license; China's expanded Oct 2025 rare-earth/critical-mineral export controls could disrupt First Solar's material supply.

    Although tellurium and products containing tellurium are sourced globally, China is a major global producer of tellurium and products containing tellurium. Exporters of tellurium and related products are generally required to obtain a license from the Chinese Ministry of Commerce. In October 2025, China expanded its rare earths export controls, adding new minerals to its restricted list and requiring foreign entities to obtain a license to export any products containing over 0.1% of rare earths from China or manufactured using China's extraction, refining, magnet-making, or recycling technology.

    SEC filing →As of 2026

Regulatory & policy

  • U.S. import tariffs (IEEPA/Section 122 on Vietnam, India, Malaysia; Section 301 China solar)high

    2025 IEEPA tariffs hit First Solar's manufacturing countries (Vietnam 20%, India 25% then 50%, Malaysia 19%); after the Supreme Court struck IEEPA, new Section 122 tariffs (up to 15%) followed, plus Section 301 tariffs (50% cells/25% modules) on China — raising costs and impairing US import/sales of internationally made modules.

    As it pertains to the countries where we manufacture solar modules, IEEPA tariffs applied to Vietnam (20%), India (25%), and Malaysia (19%). In August 2025, the U.S. President had imposed an additional 25% tariff on India over its purchases of Russian oil, resulting in an overall rate of 50%. On February 20, 2026, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled the IEEPA tariffs unlawful. President Trump responded immediately by revoking the IEEPA tariff actions and imposing new global tariffs pursuant to Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974

Sole-source dependency

  • CdTe, tellurium, substrate glass and custom manufacturing equipmenthigh

    Key inputs — CdTe, tellurium and tellurium-containing products, substrate glass — plus customized manufacturing equipment are single- or limited-sourced; supplier failure could disrupt module production and delivery.

    Several of our key raw materials and components, in particular CdTe, tellurium, products containing tellurium, and substrate glass, and manufacturing equipment are either single-sourced or sourced from a limited number of suppliers, and their failure to perform could cause manufacturing delays, especially as we expand or seek to expand our business, and/or impair our ability to deliver solar modules to customers in the required quality and quantities and at a price that is profitable to us.

    SEC filing →As of 2026

Customer concentration

  • Silicon Ranch and NextEra Energymedium

    Two customers — Silicon Ranch and NextEra Energy — each were ≥10% of 2025 module net sales; loss or contract termination by a large customer has reduced and could materially reduce net sales (50.1 GW / $15.0B backlog).

    During 2025, Silicon Ranch Corporation and NextEra Energy each accounted for 10% or more of our modules business net sales.

    SEC filing →As of 2026

Geographic concentration

  • international manufacturing (Vietnam, India, Malaysia)medium

    First Solar's global manufacturing spans the US, India, Malaysia and Vietnam; tariffs on the international fleet have raised costs and impaired its ability to sell those modules into the US, affecting the operational status of certain overseas plants.

    Our global manufacturing footprint spans the United States, India, Malaysia, and Vietnam.

    SEC filing →As of 2026

The hidden graph

Who it depends on, and who depends on it.

Relationships surfaced from filings — including ones disclosed by the other side, which is how the non-obvious ones come to light.

Its customers

  • NextEra Energy, Inc.

    During 2025, Silicon Ranch Corporation and NextEra Energy each accounted for 10% or more of our modules business net sales.

    Cited →
  • Silicon Ranch Corporation

    During 2025, Silicon Ranch Corporation and NextEra Energy each accounted for 10% or more of our modules business net sales.

    Cited →

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