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HLF · CIK 0001180262

What Herbalife Ltd. told the SEC could break it.

Herbalife's disclosures reflect a globally sourced, direct-selling nutrition business exposed to trade and regulatory policy. Tariffs and retaliatory measures from China, Canada and Mexico that apply to its products or ingredients have already raised ingredient costs and pressured sales, and because its U.S. plants supply much of its Mexico finished-goods inventory, U.S.–Mexico trade actions are a particular exposure. Its multi-level-marketing model carries distinctive regulatory risk — most acutely in China, about 6% of net sales, where it must run a modified model and a violation could force a business-model change. On the supply side it leans on third-party contract manufacturers (its top three made about 22% of products sold worldwide in 2025) and on botanical and raw-material ingredients sourced from the U.S., China, Europe and India.

4 self-disclosed vulnerabilities, pulled from its own filings — each in the company’s words, with the source. This is the risk register almost nobody reads.

In its own words

What could break it.

Regulatory & policy

  • Tariffs and retaliatory tariffs (China, Canada, Mexico) on products/ingredients — already adversely impacting ingredient cost/availability; U.S.→Mexico finished-goods flow exposedmedium

    Herbalife is exposed to U.S. and foreign tariff/trade actions. Tariffs and counter-tariffs enacted by foreign governments — such as China, Canada or Mexico — that apply to its products or ingredients have already had, and may continue to have, an adverse impact on the cost and availability of certain ingredients and on sales into those countries. Its U.S. manufacturing operations supply a significant amount of finished-goods inventory to its Mexico market, so U.S.-Mexico tariff/retaliatory measures are a particular exposure. A realized, multi-country trade-policy exposure on a globally sourced and distributed product line.

    tariffs and counter tariffs enacted by foreign governments, such as China, Canada or Mexico, that apply to our products or our ingredients

  • China direct-selling regulation and MLM business-model risk — China (~6% of net sales) requires a modified model; violations could force a business-model changemedium

    Herbalife's multi-level-marketing model faces distinctive regulatory risk, most acutely in China (~6% of 2025 net sales), where it must operate a modified business model to comply with Chinese direct-selling regulations. The Chinese government exercises significant control over the economy and rigorously monitors the direct-selling market, having taken serious action against companies in the past. If Herbalife is deemed in violation (e.g., over service-provider eligibility and fee structures), it could be sanctioned and/or required to change its business model, with a significant adverse impact on its China business. More broadly, its direct-selling/MLM model is subject to ongoing regulatory and legal scrutiny across jurisdictions. A distinctive direct-selling/MLM regulatory exposure.

    we could be sanctioned and/or required to change our business model, either of which could have a significant adverse impact on our business in China.

    SEC filing →As of 2026

Supplier concentration

  • Reliance on third-party contract manufacturers — top three CMOs produced ~22% of products sold worldwide in 2025; global CMO network plus own HIM facilitiesmedium

    Herbalife produces at its own Herbalife Innovation and Manufacturing (HIM) facilities (Lake Forest and Winston-Salem in the U.S., Suzhou in China) but also relies heavily on third-party contract manufacturers located in India, Italy, the U.S., Brazil, South Korea, Taiwan, Germany and the Netherlands. In 2025, approximately 22% of products produced and sold worldwide came from its top three third-party manufacturers. A significant interruption at a HIM facility or a top CMO — or any supply-chain disruption — could materially harm the business, with concentration amplified by product mix (Formula 1 shake mix alone is ~25% of net sales). CMOs are not individually named, so a supplier-concentration/sole-source risk.

    During 2025, based on our total products produced and then sold worldwide, we purchased approximately 22% of our products from our top three third-party manufacturers.

    SEC filing →As of 2026

Commodity & input dependence

  • Botanical/ingredient and raw-material sourcing from the U.S., China, Europe and India (teas, herbs, protein and supplement inputs)low

    Herbalife's 'seed to feed' supply chain depends on sourcing a significant amount of ingredients and raw materials — including botanicals, teas, herbs, protein and supplement inputs — from the U.S., China, Europe and India. It self-processes some botanical/tea ingredients (e.g., at its Changsha, China facility, which supplies tea/herbal raw materials to its own and third-party manufacturers). Disruptions, quality issues, weather/agricultural shortfalls, or price increases in these globally sourced agricultural/botanical commodities could raise costs or interrupt production. A specific ingredient/raw-material commodity dependence.

    We source a significant amount of our ingredients and raw materials from U.S., China, Europe, and India from well-established, reputable suppliers in their respective field.

    SEC filing →As of 2026

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