IPI · CIK 0001421461
What Intrepid Potash, Inc. told the SEC could break it.
Intrepid Potash's disclosures describe a narrowly focused producer concentrated by product and geography. It sells substantially all of its potash in the U.S., concentrated in the central and western states and produced at its New Mexico and Moab, Utah facilities, so results track regional weather, planting, and farmer economics — and it carries less product diversification than nearly all competitors, leaving it exposed to swings in potash and Trio prices and demand. U.S. potash prices are also sensitive to imports: the December 2025 lifting of sanctions on Belarusian potash (historically about 7% of U.S. demand) could add competition, while Section 232/122/301 tariffs affect its input costs and cross-border flows.
3 self-disclosed vulnerabilities, pulled from its own filings — each in the company’s words, with the source. This is the risk register almost nobody reads.
In its own words
What could break it.
Geographic concentration
- central & western U.S. potash sales (NM/Utah production)medium
Substantially all potash is sold in the U.S., with sales geographically concentrated in the central and western U.S. and production concentrated at New Mexico and Moab, Utah facilities — tying results to regional weather, planting and farmer economics.
“Substantially all of our potash is sold in the U.S. Our domestic potash sales are geographically concentrated in the central and western U.S.”
SEC filing →As of 2026
Other disclosures
- limited product diversification (potash & Trio)medium
Intrepid has less product diversification than nearly all of its competitors (concentrated in potash and Trio), making it more exposed to those products' price and demand swings.
“We have less product diversification than nearly all of our competitors, which could have an adverse effect on our financial”
SEC filing →As of 2026
Regulatory & policy
- potash import competition (Belarus sanctions lifted) & tariffsmedium
U.S. potash prices are sensitive to import volumes; the U.S. lifted its Belarusian-potash sanctions in December 2025 (Belarus historically ~7% of U.S. demand), potentially adding import competition, while Section 232/122/301 tariffs affect input costs and USMCA-qualifying flows.
“In 2022, the U.S. imposed sanctions on Belarusian potash imports, although in December 2025, the U.S. lifted these sanctions. Belarusian potash historically accounted for approximately 7% of annual demand in the U.S., although the overall impact of the removal of sanctions and Belarusian imports to the U.S. potash market remains uncertain.”
The hidden graph
Who it depends on, and who depends on it.
Relationships surfaced from filings — including ones disclosed by the other side, which is how the non-obvious ones come to light.
Its customers
Bill Barr & Company, Inc.
“In 2024, and 2023, we had one customer, Bill Barr & Company, Inc., which accounted for more than 10% of our total consolidated revenues.”
Cited →
Its suppliers
Aquatech
“Under the JDA, Aquatech is completing comprehensive feasibility studies and detailed engineering of a 5,000 metric tonne lithium extraction facility.”
Cited →
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