LMT · CIK 936468
What Lockheed Martin Corporation told the SEC could break it.
Lockheed Martin's disclosures are dominated by concentration in its government customer and a single program. The U.S. Government was 72% of 2025 sales (63% from the Defense Department), so its results hinge on budget requests, congressional appropriations and procurement priorities and are exposed to shutdown and sequestration risk — and its largest program, the F-35 Lightning II, alone was about 27% of consolidated sales. On the supply side, a significant number of its components are single or sole sourced and procurement rules limit eligible suppliers, while government actions on rare earth minerals — U.S. import prohibitions and China's export controls — have raised supply-availability concerns for a chain it calls vulnerable to disruption.
4 self-disclosed vulnerabilities, pulled from its own filings — each in the company’s words, with the source. This is the risk register almost nobody reads.
In its own words
What could break it.
Customer concentration
- U.S. Government = 72% of 2025 sales (63% from Department of War/DoD)high
Lockheed Martin's primary customer is the U.S. Government, from which it derived 72% of 2025 sales (including 63% from the Department of War/DoD); funding depends on budget requests, congressional appropriations and procurement priorities, exposing it to shutdown, sequestration and policy risk.
“Our primary customer is the U.S. Government, from which we derived 72% of our sales in 2025, including 63% from the DoW.”
SEC filing →As of 2026 - F-35 Lightning II program = ~27% of consolidated saleshigh
Lockheed's largest program, the F-35 Lightning II Joint Strike Fighter, represented approximately 27% of consolidated sales — single-program revenue concentration whose funding, international participation and production rates drive a material share of results.
“Sales for the F-35 program represented approximately 27 % of our consolidated sales durin[g]”
SEC filing →As of 2026
Sole-source dependency
- single/sole-source suppliers + U.S. Government procurement-source restrictions limiting eligible suppliershigh
A significant number of components and supplies Lockheed uses are single or sole sourced; it must also comply with U.S. Government procurement requirements that limit eligible suppliers and the source/manufacture of supplies, and qualifying new suppliers takes extended time and cost — supplier issues or trade actions could adversely impact the business.
“We also must comply with specific procurement requirements that can limit the number of eligible suppliers, and a significant number of the components or supplies used are currently single or sole sourced.”
SEC filing →As of 2026
Commodity & input dependence
- rare earth minerals — U.S. import sourcing prohibitions + China export controls; supply-chain vulnerabilitymedium
Government actions on rare earth minerals used in certain Lockheed products — U.S. Government prohibitions on importing such minerals and China's imposition of export controls — have raised supply-availability concerns; the rare-earth supply chain remains vulnerable to disruption from scarcity and constrained capacity.
“Government actions relating to rare earth minerals that are used in certain of our products, including U.S. Government sourcing prohibitions on the import of such minerals and the imposition of export controls on such minerals by China, have ... raised concerns about supply availability. The rare earth supply chain continues to be vulnerable to disruption due to increasing scarcity and constrained capacity”
The hidden graph
Who it depends on, and who depends on it.
Relationships surfaced from filings — including ones disclosed by the other side, which is how the non-obvious ones come to light.
Its suppliers
“As of December 31, 2025 and 2024, the Company's customers that accounted for 10% or more of the total accounts receivable, net, were as follows: December 31, 2025 2024 Lockheed Martin Corporation 16 % 15 %”
Cited →“Lockheed Martin comprised 10%, 11%, and 13% of our revenues in each of the fiscal years 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.”
Cited →KAMAN Corp
“In the year ended December 31, 2023, two individual customers, The Boeing Company and Lockheed Martin Corporation, accounted for more than 10% of consolidated net sales.”
Cited →INNOVATIVE SOLUTIONS & SUPPORT INC
“In the fiscal year ended September 30, 2025, our three largest customers, Lockheed Martin, Pilatus, and Boeing accounted for 36%, 8% and 5% of total revenue, respectively.”
Cited →
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