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MDLZ · CIK 1103982

What Mondelez International, Inc. told the SEC could break it.

The dominant force in Mondelez's 2025 disclosures is commodity-cost inflation led by cocoa. Rising cocoa, dairy, packaging, edible-oils and nut costs — plus unfavorable currency on imported materials and mark-to-market swings on commodity and FX derivatives — pushed its operating-income margin from 17.4% down to 9.2% and cut diluted EPS by 44.7%. That exposure is amplified by how global it is: 75.8% of net revenue came from outside the U.S., across 150-plus countries with heavy emerging-market and FX exposure, including Russia, Ukraine and other inflationary economies. It also flags trade policy directly — the imposition of tariffs, sanctions, export controls and quotas on its sales or key commodities like cocoa — and a heavily unionized workforce whose labor actions could disrupt its supply chain.

4 self-disclosed vulnerabilities, pulled from its own filings — each in the company’s words, with the source. This is the risk register almost nobody reads.

In its own words

What could break it.

Commodity & input dependence

  • cocoa-led commodity cost inflation (cocoa, dairy, packaging, edible oils, nuts) — drove operating margin 17.4%→9.2%high

    Mondelez's aggregate 2025 commodity costs rose primarily on higher cocoa, dairy, packaging, edible-oils, nuts and other ingredient costs (plus unfavorable FX on imported materials), partially offset by lower sugar/grains/energy; operating-income margin fell from 17.4% (2024) to 9.2% (2025) and diluted EPS dropped 44.7%, driven largely by unfavorable mark-to-market on commodity and FX derivatives.

    During 2025, the primary drivers of the increase in our aggregate commodity costs were higher cocoa, dairy, packaging, edible oils, nuts and other ingredient costs, as well as unfavorable year-over-year currency exchange transaction costs on imported materials, partially offset by lower sugar, grains and energy costs.

    SEC filing →As of 2026

Geographic concentration

  • 75.8% of revenue non-U.S.; emerging-market + FX exposure (incl. Russia/Ukraine)medium

    Mondelez generated 75.8% of 2025 net revenues outside the U.S. (markets in 150+ countries, operations in ~80), with significant emerging-market exposure (all of Latin America, AMEA ex-Australia/NZ/Japan, and Russia/Ukraine/Türkiye/Poland etc. in Europe) — subjecting results to FX swings, highly-inflationary-economy remeasurement, and global geopolitical risk.

    We are a global company and generated 75.8% of our 2025 net revenues, 74.0% of our 2024 net revenues and 73.4% of our 2023 net revenues outside the United States. We market our products in over 150 countries and have operations in approximately 80 countries.

    SEC filing →As of 2026

Regulatory & policy

  • tariffs/sanctions/export controls/quotas on sales and key commodities like cocoamedium

    Operating globally (150+ countries, ops in ~80), Mondelez faces imposition of increased/new tariffs, sanctions, export controls, quotas, trade barriers, labor reforms and price floors on its sales or key commodities like cocoa, plus changes in U.S. trade programs/relations and cross-border data-transfer restrictions.

    Those risks include: the imposition of increased or new tariffs, sanctions, export controls, quotas, trade barriers, labor reforms, price floors or similar restrictions on our sales or key commodities like cocoa, potential changes in U.S. trade programs and trade relations with other countries

Other disclosures

  • unionized/works-council workforce (56% non-U.S., 22% U.S.) — strike/work-stoppage supply-chain risklow

    Approximately 56% of Mondelez's ~79,000 non-U.S. employees and ~22% of its ~12,000 U.S. employees are represented by labor unions or works councils; strikes, work stoppages or other labor unrest by its employees or those of suppliers/distributors/partners (and collective-bargaining renegotiations) have caused and may cause supply-chain, manufacturing or distribution disruptions.

    Strikes, work stoppages or other forms of labor unrest by our employees or those of our suppliers, distributors or other business partners, or situations like the renegotiation of collective bargaining agreements, have in the past and may in the future cause disruptions to our supply chain, manufacturing or distribution processes.

    SEC filing →As of 2026

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