QCOM · CIK 804328
What QUALCOMM Incorporated told the SEC could break it.
Qualcomm is concentrated on both sides of its business, with China running through each. On the demand side, three customers/licensees individually supplied roughly 21%, 20% and 13% of revenue, and a significant share comes from Chinese OEMs who — under Beijing's self-sufficiency push or U.S.–China actions — have begun developing their own chips instead of buying Qualcomm's. On the supply side it leans on sole- or limited-source suppliers, especially in its QCT chip segment, whose foundries and assembly-test sites sit primarily in Taiwan and Korea (with RF manufacturing in China, Germany and Singapore and much of its workforce in India), concentrating exposure to China–Taiwan tensions and disasters. Separately, expecting to be perpetually subject to the 15% Corporate Alternative Minimum Tax, it took a $5.7 billion charge in Q4 fiscal 2025 to write down federal deferred tax assets.
5 self-disclosed vulnerabilities, pulled from its own filings — each in the company’s words, with the source. This is the risk register almost nobody reads.
In its own words
What could break it.
Geographic concentration
- China revenue concentration + Chinese-OEM vertical integration and government policy riskmedium
Qualcomm derives a significant portion of revenue from Chinese OEMs; under Chinese government self-sufficiency policies or U.S./China actions, those customers have developed and may further develop their own integrated circuits, materially harming QCT revenue.
“we derive a significant portion of our revenues from Chinese OEMs. Certain of our customers in China have developed, and others may in the future develop, their own integrated circuit products and use such integrated circuit products in their devices rather than our products, including due to pressure from or policies of the Chinese government”
- supply/operations concentrated in Taiwan, Korea, China, Germany, Singapore; workforce in Indiamedium
Qualcomm's key suppliers and their foundries/assembly-test facilities are primarily in Taiwan and Korea; its RFFE/RF manufacturing is in China, Germany and Singapore; finished-goods warehouses are in Singapore; and a significant portion of its workforce is in India — concentrating exposure to China-Taiwan tensions, war and natural disasters.
“our key suppliers and their manufacturing foundries and assembly, test and other facilities are primarily located in Taiwan and Korea; our manufacturing facilities for RFFE and RF products are located in China, Germany and Singapore; the primary warehouses where we store finished goods for fulfillment of customer orders are located in Singapore; and a significant portion of our workforce (including engineering and other technical personnel) is based in India.”
Customer concentration
- three unnamed customers/licensees = 21%, 20% and 13% of revenuehigh
Three unnamed customers/licensees individually accounted for approximately 21%, 20% and 13% of Qualcomm's revenue — extreme concentration, heightened by the risk that large customers vertically integrate and use their own integrated circuits instead of Qualcomm's.
“x) 21 % 22 % 27 % Customer/licensee (y) 20 19 21 Customer/licensee (z) 13 12 * * Less than 10%”
SEC filing →As of 2025
Sole-source dependency
- sole/limited-source suppliers for QCT products, concentrated in Asiahigh
Qualcomm relies on sole- or limited-source suppliers for some products, particularly in its QCT segment, with raw materials/equipment/supplies coming from a limited number of suppliers (sometimes sole) particularly in Asia — exposing it to shortages from disasters, geopolitical conflict or quality/delivery failures.
“We rely on sole- or limited-source suppliers for some products, particularly products in our QCT segment, subjecting us to possible shortages of raw materials or manufacturing capacity.”
SEC filing →As of 2025
Liquidity & debt
- $5.7B CAMT-driven deferred-tax-asset valuation allowance chargemedium
Because it expects to perpetually be subject to the 15% Corporate Alternative Minimum Tax, Qualcomm no longer expects to realize substantially all of its existing federal deferred tax assets and recorded a $5.7 billion income-tax charge in Q4 fiscal 2025 to establish a valuation allowance.
“As we expect to perpetually be subject to CAMT, we no longer expect to realize substantially all of our existing federal deferred tax assets and recognized a charge of $5.7 billion to income tax expense to establish a valuation allowance in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025.”
SEC filing →As of 2025
The hidden graph
Who it depends on, and who depends on it.
Relationships surfaced from filings — including ones disclosed by the other side, which is how the non-obvious ones come to light.
Its customers
“deep strategic partnerships with key suppliers, such as Infineon Technologies Americas Corp, OmniVision Technologies Inc., Realtek Semiconductor Corp, and Qualcomm Incorporated.”
Cited →“For example, our MiFi mobile hotspots and fixed wireless access devices rely substantially on chipsets from Qualcomm.”
Cited →“(“Marvell”), Qualcomm Incorporated (“Qualcomm”) and Intel and memory devices from Intel, Micron Technology (“Micron”), ADATA Technology Co., Ltd. (“ADATA”), Toshiba Corporation (“Toshiba”), Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. (“Samsung”), and Western Digital Technologies, Inc. (“Western Digital”), are available from limited or sole sources of supply.”
Cited →
Its suppliers
“Our primary semiconductor assembly and test suppliers are Advanced Semiconductor Engineering, Amkor Technology, Siliconware Precision Industries and STATSChipPAC.”
Cited →ASE Technology Holding (Advanced Semiconductor Engineering)
“Our primary semiconductor assembly and test suppliers are Advanced Semiconductor Engineering, Amkor Technology, Siliconware Precision Industries and STATSChipPAC.”
Cited →“Direct sales to Apple and Qualcomm accounted for 29.8% and 11.1% of our net sales, respectively, for the year ended December 31, 2025.”
Cited →“The primary foundry suppliers for our various digital, analog/mixed-signal, RF and PM integrated circuits include Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), Samsung Electronics and Global Foundries.”
Cited →Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.
“The primary foundry suppliers for our various digital, analog/mixed-signal, RF and PM integrated circuits include Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), Samsung Electronics and Global Foundries.”
Cited →Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC)
“The primary foundry suppliers for our various digital, analog/mixed-signal, RF and PM integrated circuits include Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), Samsung Electronics and Global Foundries.”
Cited →
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