TR · CIK 0000098677
What Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. told the SEC could break it.
Tootsie Roll's sharpest disclosed exposure is customer concentration: three customers — wholesaler McLane plus Wal-Mart and Dollar Tree — made up about 36% of 2025 net product sales and 37.8% of receivables, so losing or being squeezed by any one would matter. The other through-line is its agricultural input base. Its costs hinge on sugar and other ingredients drawn from a global supply chain (hedged with futures and annual supply agreements), which climate change increasingly threatens, while trade policy adds cost risk — it ships cross-border with Canada and Mexico operations under USMCA, which expires June 30, 2026, so an adverse renegotiation or new tariffs on shipments or imported ingredients could raise input costs.
4 self-disclosed vulnerabilities, pulled from its own filings — each in the company’s words, with the source. This is the risk register almost nobody reads.
In its own words
What could break it.
Customer concentration
- McLane, Wal-Mart, Dollar Tree = ~36% of net product saleshigh
Three customers — wholesaler McLane (19.7%) plus retailers Wal-Mart and Dollar Tree — made up ~36% of 2025 net product sales and 37.8% of accounts receivable.
“The Company's largest customers, McLane, Wal-Mart and Dollar Tree, accounted for approximately 36% of net product sales in 2025, and other large national chains are also material to the Company's sales.”
SEC filing →As of 2026
Climate & physical
- climate risk to globally sourced agricultural ingredientsmedium
Products rely on agricultural ingredients sourced from a global supply chain that climate change increasingly threatens via risks to global food production systems.
“Our global supply chain faces similar challenges as our products rely on agricultural ingredients some of which are sourced from a global supply chain. Climate change poses a significant and increasing risk to global food production systems and to the safety and resilience of the communities where we source certain of our ingredients.”
SEC filing →As of 2026
Regulatory & policy
- tariffs / USMCA renegotiation (expires June 30, 2026)medium
Tootsie Roll ships cross-border with Canada/Mexico manufacturing operations under USMCA (expiring June 30, 2026); adverse renegotiation or new tariffs/surcharges, plus tariffs on imported ingredients like edible oils, could materially raise input costs.
“If regulators decide to impose tariffs, if the outcome of negotiations of the USMCA (which expires at June 30, 2026) is adverse to our cross-border shipments, or other surcharges are levied by Canada and Mexico, on products that previously qualified under USMCA, the impact of tariffs on our cross-border shipments could be signifi”
SEC filing →As of 2026
Commodity & input dependence
- sugar and agricultural ingredient cost volatilitylow
Tootsie Roll's costs depend heavily on sugar and other agricultural ingredients, which it hedges via commodity futures and annual supply agreements to mitigate price fluctuation.
“The Company utilizes commodity futures contracts, as well as annual supply agreements, to hedge (primarily sugar) and plan for anticipated purchases of certain ingredients in order to mitigate commodity cost fluctuation.”
SEC filing →As of 2026
The hidden graph
Who it depends on, and who depends on it.
Relationships surfaced from filings — including ones disclosed by the other side, which is how the non-obvious ones come to light.
Its customers
Dollar Tree, Inc. (incl. Family Dollar)
“The Company's largest customers, McLane, Wal-Mart and Dollar Tree, accounted for approximately 36% of net product sales in 2025, and other large national chains are also material to the Company's sales.”
Cited →McLane Company, Inc. (Berkshire Hathaway)
“Net product sales revenues from McLane, which includes these Wal-Mart and Dollar Tree sales as well as sales and deliveries to other Company customers, were 19.7% in 2025 and 20.7% in 2024 and 20.1% in 2023.”
Cited →“The Company's largest customers, McLane, Wal-Mart and Dollar Tree, accounted for approximately 36% of net product sales in 2025, and other large national chains are also material to the Company's sales.”
Cited →
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