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XPO · CIK 1166003

What XPO, Inc. told the SEC could break it.

XPO's disclosures are the structural exposures of a trucking and logistics operator. Its fleet runs on diesel, whose price swung as much as 14% in France, 32% in the U.K. and 11% in the U.S. in 2025 — fuel-surcharge and cost-recovery clauses in many customer contracts only partly offset that. Its operations are heavily regulated as a motor carrier, requiring licenses and compliance with the DOT, FMCSA, EPA, CARB and others, including for hazardous-materials transport, so new emissions, hours-of-service or cargo-security rules, or the loss of a license, could materially affect it. It also carries meaningful currency exposure: about 41% of 2025 revenue came from outside North America — 16% France, 14% U.K. and 11% the rest of Europe — tying results to euro and pound exchange rates.

3 self-disclosed vulnerabilities, pulled from its own filings — each in the company’s words, with the source. This is the risk register almost nobody reads.

In its own words

What could break it.

Commodity & input dependence

  • diesel fuel pricesmedium

    XPO's LTL/truck fleet is exposed to diesel-fuel price volatility (2025 swings of up to 14% in France, 32% in the UK, 11% in the US); fuel-surcharge/cost-recovery clauses in many customer contracts only partly mitigate the exposure.

    Commodity Price Risk We are exposed to price fluctuations for diesel fuel purchased for use in our vehicles. During the year ended December 31, 2025, diesel prices fluctuated by as much as 14% in France, 32% in the United Kingdom, and 11% in the United States. We include fuel surcharge programs or other cost-recovery mechanisms in many of our customer contracts to mitigate the effect of any fuel price increases over base amounts established in the contract.

Regulatory & policy

  • motor-carrier / DOT / FMCSA / EPA / hazmat regulationmedium

    XPO's trucking operations require motor-carrier/broker licenses and are regulated by DOT, FMCSA, EPA, DHS, CBP, CARB and others (including hazardous-materials transport); new emissions/hours-of-service/cargo-security rules or loss of licenses could materially affect operations.

    In addition, we are subject to regulations and requirements promulgated by the DOT, EPA, FMCSA, DHS, CBP, Canada Border Services Agency and various other international, domestic, state and local agencies and port authorities. Certain of our businesses engage in the transportation of hazardous materials, the movement, handling and accidental discharge of which are highly regulated. Our failure to obtain or maintain the required licenses, or to comply with applicable regulations, could have a material adverse impact on our business and results of operations.

    SEC filing →As of 2026

Currency (FX)

  • European revenue FX exposure (France, UK)low

    About 41% of XPO's 2025 revenue was earned outside North America — 16% France, 14% UK, 11% rest of Europe — exposing results to euro and pound exchange-rate fluctuations.

    In 2025, we generated approximately 59% of revenue in North America, derived almost entirely from the U.S., 16% in France, 14% in the U.K. and 11% in the rest of Europe.

    SEC filing →As of 2026

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