Colorado River water cuts are coming to Arizona
Water reductions in Arizona could constrain irrigation-dependent agricultural output, including produce supplies.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Colorado River irrigation water allocation, we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Colorado River irrigation water allocation →Shortage riskThe federal plan cuts Arizona's Colorado River share by 760,000 acre-feet annually for two years, so Arizona itself faces a large allocation shortage.
97% confidenceCentral Arizona Project (CAP) →Shortage riskColorado River irrigation water allocation
CAP relies on Colorado River irrigation water allocation, and Arizona's river cuts directly tighten this low-substitutability input with a long replacement lead time.
92% confidenceColorado River irrigation water allocation →Shortage riskCAP is a major Arizona water delivery system tied to Colorado River allocations, so a reduced allocation directly constrains its supply.
Hop 2
Rice →DelaysLand Preparation and Flooding
Flood irrigation is essential for rice land preparation, so Colorado River water cuts directly delay this production step and reduce rice throughput.
91% confidenceFresh produce staples →Shortage riskDistribution and retail/foodservice
Reduced produce supply tightens availability for downstream distribution and retail/foodservice.
88% confidenceFresh produce staples →Shortage riskPacking, grading, and labeling
Lower fresh-produce output leaves less volume moving through packing, grading, and labeling.
80% confidence
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Fresh produce staples · Rice
Companies you may own
Central Arizona Project (CAP)
Tap a company to see what it told the SEC could break it.
In the MyPRIA app, this is checked against your own holdings.