PACB · CIK 0001299130
What Pacific Biosciences of California, Inc. told the SEC could break it.
PacBio's register is dominated by supply-side single points of failure. Substantially all of its consumable chips are partly manufactured by one company in Taiwan, and it sources other critical products — its SMRT Cells, reagents and instruments — from single or sole suppliers, so an interruption at any one could limit product availability and force lengthy requalification. Trade policy compounds that exposure: escalating Section 301/232 and IEEPA "fentanyl-related" tariffs on goods from China, Canada and Mexico, Chinese rare-earth export controls, and BIS export-control scrutiny of its China sales. Demand is also lumpy — a significant share of revenue comes from a limited number of customers buying on a purchase-order basis, though none exceeded 10% of revenue.
4 self-disclosed vulnerabilities, pulled from its own filings — each in the company’s words, with the source. This is the risk register almost nobody reads.
In its own words
What could break it.
Geographic concentration
- consumable chips partly manufactured in Taiwan; China-Taiwan geopolitical supply riskhigh
Substantially all of PacBio's consumable chips are partly manufactured by a company in Taiwan; diplomatic, geopolitical or military developments in the China-Taiwan relationship could materially disrupt its supply of consumable chips and other critical components.
“Substantially all of our consumable chips are partly manufactured by a company based in Taiwan. Our supply of consumable chips and other critical components may be materially and adversely affected by diplomatic, geopolitical, military and other developments affecting the relationship between China”
Regulatory & policy
- tariffs (Section 301/232/IEEPA), China export controls (rare earths) and BIS export-control scrutinyhigh
PacBio faces escalating tariffs (Section 301/232 and IEEPA fentanyl-related duties on China/Canada/Mexico goods) and Chinese retaliation including rare-earth export controls that raise costs, plus BIS export-control scrutiny of its China sales (an April 2025 inquiry led to a voluntary self-disclosure, closed with a warning letter).
“since February 2025, under authority of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (“IEEPA”), the U.S. government enacted an additional 10% to 35% “fentanyl-related” ad valorem tariffs on virtually all goods from China, Canada, and Mexico, with an exception for items qualifying for duty-free treatment under the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (“USMCA”).”
Sole-source dependency
- single/sole-source suppliers for SMRT Cells, reagents and instrumentshigh
PacBio sources certain critical products and components — including its SMRT Cells, reagents and instruments — from single or sole sources; supply interruption, quality issues or loss of a sole-source manufacturer could limit product availability and require lengthy requalification.
“We have chosen to source certain products and critical components from a single source, including suppliers for our SMRT Cells, reagents, and instruments. We cannot assure you that products or product supplies will not be limited or interrupted, especially with respect to our sole source third-party manufacturing and supply collaborators, or that products or product supp”
SEC filing →As of 2026
Customer concentration
- significant revenue from a limited number of purchase-order customers (none >10%)medium
PacBio derives a significant portion of revenue from a limited number of customers (early-adopter labs and service providers) who buy on a purchase-order basis without long-term contracts; although no customer exceeded 10% of revenue, this concentration and lumpy purchasing causes quarterly revenue volatility.
“We receive a significant portion of our revenue from a limited number of customers. While during the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023, no customer accounted for 10% or more of our total revenue, many of our customers make large purchases on a purchase-order basis rather than pursuant to long-term contracts.”
SEC filing →As of 2026
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