Drone attack hits one of Russia's largest oil refineries
A drone strike disrupted operations at a major oil refinery, potentially cutting refined fuel supply.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Rosneft, we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Rosneft →Shortage riskRefined fuels in Russia
Ryazan is a Rosneft-owned refinery and the source says it stopped processing for about two weeks, so output of refined fuels from this major plant tightens materially.
“The Ryazan refinery stopped operations on Wednesday. The shutdown is expected to last about two weeks.”
89% confidenceCited →Crude Oil Feedstock →Shortage riskCrude oil feedstock is the critical input to gasoline and diesel production, so a refinery shutdown directly cuts output of these fuels.
88% confidenceCrude Oil Feedstock →Shortage riskHop 2
Gasoline and diesel →Prices easeThe refinery outage cuts crude runs, so this refinery buys less crude oil feedstock and crude-linked demand/price soften.
91% confidenceGasoline and diesel →Prices easeLower refinery throughput reduces hydrotreating and hydrocracking activity, easing demand for refinery-grade hydrogen.
72% confidenceHop 3
Hydrogen (refinery-grade) →Shortage riskRefinery-grade hydrogen is a critical input for gasoline and diesel production, so a refinery disruption that constrains operations should reduce their supply.
79% confidenceHydrogen (refinery-grade) →Shortage riskHome heating oil is marked as a critical output dependent on refinery-grade hydrogen, so reduced refinery throughput should tighten its availability.
77% confidence
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Gasoline and diesel · Home heating oil
Companies you may own
No named companies on this path.
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