2025 was one of driest years for river discharge globally in 35 years: report
Widespread low river discharge can constrain inland shipping and water-dependent industrial and agricultural output.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Colorado River irrigation water allocation, we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Colorado River irrigation water allocation →Shortage riskFresh produce staples have a critical 0.92 dependency on this irrigation input, so reduced Colorado River allocation should directly constrain output.
94% confidenceIrrigation Water (Flood Irrigation) →Shortage riskRice is a critical downstream crop with very high dependence on flood irrigation, so water shortages should directly reduce output.
94% confidenceColorado River irrigation water allocation →Shortage riskHop 2
Bureau of Reclamation (US DOI) →Shortage riskColorado River irrigation water allocation
Low river discharge directly constrains Bureau-managed Colorado River allocations, and this supply is sole-sourced with no substitute and very long replacement lead time.
94% confidenceBureau of Reclamation (US DOI) →Shortage riskIrrigation Water (Flood Irrigation)
The same discharge shock reduces Bureau-provided flood-irrigation water, though this edge is less concentrated and somewhat more substitutable than the Colorado River allocation.
76% confidenceFresh produce staples →Stands to benefit
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Fresh produce staples · Rice
Companies you may own
Imperial Irrigation District (IID)Central Arizona Project (CAP)Metropolitan Water District of Southern California (MWD)Arkansas Natural Resources Commission (ANRC)Bureau of Reclamation (US DOI)Glenn-Colusa Irrigation District (GCID)
Tap a company to see what it told the SEC could break it.
In the MyPRIA app, this is checked against your own holdings.