Risk of new protests in Bolivia; government extends state of emergency
Extended emergency measures during unrest can disrupt roads and the movement of goods in Bolivia.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from EM Vinto, we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
EM Vinto →DelaysBolivia's route closures can delay movement of goods, and this refined-tin input is not a sole source (3% share, 0.5 substitutability), so the effect is a modest lead-time stretch rather than a severe shortage.
76% confidenceEmpresa Metalúrgica Vinto (EM Vinto) →DelaysFloat Bath Tin (refined tin metal)
Bolivia's emergency-related road closures can impede movement of goods, so EM Vinto's refined tin input is likely delayed; the effect is moderated by the input's 4% share but made harder to reroute by low substitutability and an 18-month replacement lead time.
66% confidenceHop 2
Refined Tin →DelaysBolivia's road disruptions can delay EM Vinto's refined tin shipments, and the edge indicates a direct supply relationship, though its share is small (3%) so the broader effect is limited.
84% confidenceFloat Bath Tin (refined tin metal) →DelaysFloat bath tin is a critical input to glass and windows, so Bolivia’s route closures can delay tin shipments and in turn slow downstream production.
82% confidenceHop 3
Glass and windows →DelaysFloat Bath Tin (refined tin metal)
Road closures tied to unrest in Bolivia can delay inbound shipments of this critical float-process input, and the dependency is highly material.
66% confidenceGlass and windows →DelaysGlass manufacturing relies heavily on soda ash, so disruption to road movement can stretch delivery lead times for this core bulk input.
64% confidenceGlass and windows →DelaysPVB (Polyvinyl Butyral) Interlayer Film
PVB is a critical laminated-glass input, and road disruption can delay its delivery into glass-and-window production.
Hop 4
Soda Ash (Sodium Carbonate) →DelaysSoda ash is a critical input to glass and windows, so transport disruptions that slow soda ash movement would delay production and deliveries in that downstream sector.
83% confidencePVB (Polyvinyl Butyral) Interlayer Film →Shortage riskPVB interlayer film is a critical input to glass and windows, so a route-driven disruption at this stage would likely constrain downstream glass/window production.
74% confidenceSilica Sand (glass-grade) →Delays
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Glass and windows · Tableware & dishware · Home décor
Companies you may own
EM Vinto
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