Venezuela halts production at its second-largest refinery after massive fire
A major fire shuts production at a Venezuelan refinery, reducing refined product supply.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Nynas AB, we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Petróleos del Perú (Petroperú) →Prices riseCardón’s fire halted refinery operations and reduced refined-product supply, which can tighten marine diesel and bunker fuel markets and raise Petroperú’s input costs, though this edge is modest and substitutes exist.
46% confidenceNynas AB →Prices riseA major refinery shutdown can tighten petroleum-derived bitumen/asphalt supply, and this input has low substitutability with a 12-month replacement lead time, so Nynas AB likely faces higher input costs.
43% confidenceValero Energy →Prices riseHop 2
Bitumen / Asphalt Binder →Shortage riskAsphalt and paving materials depend almost entirely on bitumen/asphalt binder (0.95 dependency, critical), so a refinery outage that tightens binder supply directly constrains output.
96% confidenceMarine Diesel and Bunker Fuel →Prices riseMarine diesel and bunker fuel are critical operating inputs for fishing fleets and cold-chain transport, so a refinery fire tightening fuel supply should raise seafood and fish costs.
90% confidenceMarine Diesel and Bunker Fuel →Stands to benefitHop 3
Seafood and fish →Prices easeFish Meal and Fish Oil (Aquaculture Feed)
Lower seafood and aquaculture output reduces demand for fish meal and fish oil feed, putting downward pressure on the input market.
84% confidenceWorld Kinect Corporation (World Fuel Services) →Prices riseThe refinery outage tightens marine diesel and bunker fuel supply, and this input can be substituted only partially and with about a one-month replacement lag, so World Kinect is more likely to face higher procurement costs than a hard shortage.
71% confidenceAsphalt and paving materials →Shortage riskHot Mix Asphalt (HMA) Plant Production
Hop 4
Fish Meal and Fish Oil (Aquaculture Feed) →Shortage riskFish meal and fish oil are critical aquaculture feed inputs, so a supply shortfall would directly constrain seafood and fish production.
88% confidence
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Asphalt and paving materials · Seafood and fish
In the MyPRIA app, this is checked against your own holdings.