6.3-magnitude earthquake damages the world's largest mine after 30 minutes
A major earthquake at a large mine could disrupt mineral output and associated supply chains.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from US Minerals, we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Manganese ore →Shortage riskManganese ore is a critical input to steel and iron products, so a major mine disruption can tighten downstream supply.
74% confidenceBauxite (aluminum ore) →Shortage riskAluminum and aluminum products
A severe earthquake damaging a large bauxite mine can reduce bauxite output, constraining the primary feedstock for aluminum and aluminum products.
74% confidenceHop 2
Aluminum and aluminum products →Shortage riskAlumina (Aluminum Oxide, Al₂O₃)
The earthquake-driven bauxite disruption tightens alumina supply, and alumina is a critical 0.97-weight input to aluminum production.
88% confidenceHop 3
Alumina (Aluminum Oxide, Al₂O₃) →Shortage riskAluminum and aluminum products
Alumina is the critical feedstock for aluminum and aluminum products, so a severe supply disruption should reduce downstream availability.
95% confidenceAlumina (Aluminum Oxide, Al₂O₃) →Prices riseChalco (Aluminum Corporation of China)
This producer depends on alumina feedstock, so a mine shock should raise its input costs and can constrain output.
83% confidenceAlumina (Aluminum Oxide, Al₂O₃) →Prices riseHop 4
Rio Tinto Aluminium →Shortage riskBauxite Ore (Primary Aluminum Feedstock)
The quake can tighten Rio Tinto Aluminium’s bauxite feedstock, and this edge is a material dependency with 10% share, low substitutability, and a 12-month replacement lead time.
74% confidenceChina Hongqiao Group →Shortage riskBauxite Ore (Primary Aluminum Feedstock)
A severe earthquake at a mine would directly tighten bauxite feedstock availability for China Hongqiao, and this input is only moderately substitutable with a 12-month replacement horizon.
67% confidenceUnited Company RUSAL →Shortage riskHop 5
Bauxite Ore (Primary Aluminum Feedstock) →Shortage riskAluminum and aluminum products
Bauxite ore is a critical, near-fully dependent feedstock for aluminum and aluminum products, so a mine outage tightly constrains downstream supply.
98% confidenceBauxite Ore (Primary Aluminum Feedstock) →Shortage riskGuinea accounts for a large share of bauxite ore supply, so a major mine disruption there directly reduces the country's bauxite output.
89% confidenceGallium Metal (High-Purity, 6N+) →DelaysQorvo Inc.QRVO
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Steel and iron products · Aluminum and aluminum products · Specialty chips · Lighting & lamps
In the MyPRIA app, this is checked against your own holdings.