Swiss-China Trade Pact Would Extend Duty-Free Access to 99.8% of Exports
The pact would expand tariff-free trade for most Swiss and Chinese goods, easing cross-border flow of traded products.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Watches, we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Hardware & fasteners →Prices easeCold-Heading-Quality (CHQ) Steel Wire Rod
The pact’s tariff relief should lower landed cost for this critical steel-wire-rod input, making it cheaper to supply hardware and fasteners production.
61% confidenceOffice & school supplies →Stands to benefitThe trade pact improves Swiss goods' access to the Chinese market, which should lift office-supplies export demand and, through the strong dependency on pen-tip steel and ink, benefit this core input.
60% confidenceOffice & school supplies →Stands to benefitWith tariff-free access expanding for Swiss exports, higher throughput in office and school supplies should benefit this critical paper input that the category depends on heavily.
Hop 2
Watch Hairspring (Balance Spring) →Stands to benefitSwitzerland supplies 77.6% of this input, so a duty-free Swiss-China pact should chiefly benefit the dominant source country's exports of the part.
90% confidenceMechanical Watch Movement (Ébauche) →supply upMechanical watch movements are a critical input to watches, so tariff-free trade on Swiss movements should make watches more available and easier to produce.
87% confidenceWatch Hairspring (Balance Spring) →supply upWatches depend critically on this balance spring, so easing Swiss-China tariffs on the input should make watch production more available.
Hop 3
Switzerland →Prices easeMechanical Watch Movement (Ébauche)
Swiss duty-free access to China should lower the landed cost of this heavily Swiss-supplied watch movement in export markets.
87% confidenceSwitzerland →Prices easeWith Switzerland supplying 77.6% of this input, the pact should reduce tariff friction and its import price in China.
84% confidenceSwitzerland →Prices easeSynthetic Sapphire Watch Crystal
The tariff cut should make Swiss sapphire crystals cheaper to bring into China, given Switzerland's 77.6% supply share.
Hop 4
Synthetic Sapphire Watch Crystal →Stands to benefitSwitzerland supplies 77.6% of this input, so duty-free Swiss-China access should strongly help the dominant source country by easing export flow for Swiss-origin crystals.
90% confidenceWatch Dial, Hands & Indices →supply upSwitzerland accounts for 77.6% of this input's supply, so a Swiss-China duty-free pact should make the dominant source more available across the border.
86% confidenceWatch Dial, Hands & Indices →Prices easeBecause Watches depend on this input with dependency strength 0.4, tariff-free sourcing should lower component costs and ease watch production.
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Watches · Footwear · Hardware & fasteners · Office & school supplies
Companies you may own
UHR.SWSellita Watch Co SA
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