Worst ever El Nino to bring heavy rains, drought to Sri Lanka
Severe El Niño weather is likely to disrupt agricultural output and food supply in Sri Lanka through flooding and drought.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Sugar, we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Rice →Shortage riskIrrigation Water (Flood Irrigation)
El Niño-related drought makes flood-irrigation water scarce, and rice is highly dependent on this critical input.
93% confidenceCereal Grain (Oats / Corn / Wheat / Rice) →Shortage riskThis downstream good has a critical 0.9 dependency on cereal grains, so El Niño-driven crop disruption maps to immediate supply tightness.
81% confidenceRice →DelaysLand Preparation and Flooding
The dry spell followed by flooding disrupts the timing and execution of land preparation and field flooding for rice cultivation.
80% confidenceHop 2
PepsiCo →Prices easePepsi constituted 43.2% of Celsius’s 2025 net revenue, so reduced PepsiCo purchasing or distribution can materially pressure Celsius’s sales and pricing.
90% confidenceIrrigation Water (Flood Irrigation) →Shortage riskRice is a critical downstream user of flood irrigation water, so El Niño-related disruption to irrigation water would directly constrain rice production.
87% confidencePepsiCo →Prices easeHop 3
McCormick & Company, Incorporated →Shortage riskMcCormick disclosed that PepsiCo accounted for about 12% of consolidated sales, so a McCormick supply disruption would likely create a material shortage for that customer.
67% confidenceMcCormick & Company, Incorporated →Shortage riskWalmart Inc.WMT
McCormick disclosed that Walmart accounted for about 12% of consolidated sales, so a McCormick production disruption would likely reduce product availability for that customer.
64% confidenceCelsius Holdings, Inc. →Shortage risk
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Breakfast cereal & grains · Sugar · Rice
In the MyPRIA app, this is checked against your own holdings.