Power grid collapses across southern, western and central Libya
A major grid collapse can disrupt electricity supply to industry, transport, and fuel handling across large regions.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Electricity (Refinery Operations), we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Natural Gas (Pipeline-Grade) →Shortage riskResidential electricity is highly dependent on pipeline-grade natural gas (dependency_strength=0.9, critical), and gas shortages can force power generation offline, reducing available electricity supply.
84% confidenceElectricity (Refinery Operations) →Shortage riskThe graph shows home heating oil depends on this electricity input, so Libya-driven power outages would constrain downstream home heating oil output.
67% confidenceSonatrach →Shortage riskHelium (Grade 5.0 / Fiber-Drawing Grade)
If Sonatrach is disrupted, its 7% share of helium supply would matter materially, and helium's very low substitutability plus 18-month replacement lead time make a scarcity effect strong.
Hop 2
Helium-rich natural gas feedstock →Shortage riskMedical helium is marked critical and 95% dependent on this feedstock, so a supply shock should directly constrain availability.
94% confidenceLPG (Liquefied Petroleum Gas — Propane + Butane) →Prices riseLPG is a direct feedstock for home-use propane, so a severe supply disturbance should lift retail propane prices and tighten availability.
89% confidenceHome heating oil →Shortage riskThe Libya disturbance directly disrupts crude output, and home heating oil depends wholly on crude oil feedstock, so that input tightens immediately.
Hop 3
Medical helium →Shortage riskDistribution to hospitals, research labs, and industrial users
A shortage of medical helium directly constrains the downstream distribution step serving hospitals, research labs, and industrial users.
63% confidenceExxonMobil →Shortage riskThe Libya complex incident is described as tightening crude supply, which would make ExxonMobil's crude oil feedstock scarcer; this edge is only moderately strong because the input is substitutable and not sole-sourced.
62% confidenceQatarEnergy →Prices rise
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Residential Electricity · Home heating oil · Medical helium · Propane (home use) · Fiber optic cables and networking
In the MyPRIA app, this is checked against your own holdings.