Supplies of weapons and equipment for the start of the special operation increased fivefold
A large increase in weapons and equipment deliveries materially shifts military supply flows upward.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Ammunition, we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Ammunition →Shortage riskNitrocellulose Smokeless Powder (Propellant)
Ammunition production is critically dependent on nitrocellulose propellant, so a surge in ammunition output tightens this input and raises shortage risk.
84% confidenceAmmunition →Shortage riskLead Styphnate (Primer Explosive Compound)
Primer compound is a critical ammunition input, so higher ammunition throughput should strain supply and create shortage pressure.
82% confidenceAmmunition →Prices riseAntimony Metal (Bullet Core Hardener)
Antimony is an important but less central ammunition input, so the demand shock is more likely to raise costs than create immediate outright scarcity.
Hop 2
Nitrocellulose Smokeless Powder (Propellant) →Stands to benefitSt. Marks Powder (General Dynamics)
As the 70% supplier of this critical propellant, St. Marks benefits most from higher ammunition demand tied to the military supply surge.
85% confidenceNitrocellulose Smokeless Powder (Propellant) →Stands to benefitEurenco's 15% share means a meaningful slice of the increased propellant demand flows to it.
76% confidenceNitrocellulose Smokeless Powder (Propellant) →Stands to benefitHop 3
St. Marks Powder (General Dynamics) →Shortage riskNitrocellulose Smokeless Powder (Propellant)
The fivefold rise in weapons/equipment deliveries should lift ammunition output, and this 70%-share nitrocellulose smokeless powder input has low substitutability and a 36-month replacement lead time, so it tightens materially.
83% confidenceCzechoslovak Group (CSG) →Shortage riskLead Styphnate (Primer Explosive Compound)
If CSG has to expand output to satisfy the fivefold surge in weapons and equipment deliveries, its demand for lead styphnate tightens; the 25% share, low substitutability, and 36-month replacement lead time make the input materially scarcer.
81% confidenceThailand →Shortage risk
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
No consumer goods on this path.
Companies you may own
St. Marks Powder (General Dynamics)EurencoNammo ASBAE SystemsHsikwangshan Twinkling Star Co., Ltd.OLNCzechoslovak Group (CSG)
Tap a company to see what it told the SEC could break it.
In the MyPRIA app, this is checked against your own holdings.