US ready to strike Iran if Donald Trump gives order as Israel pushes for joint attack
A potential US-Israel strike on Iran could disrupt Iranian oil exports and regional shipping flows.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Frontline plc, we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Canadian crude oil imports →Prices riseA strike-driven crude oil disruption would pass through this fairly strong input link (dependency_strength 0.75) into higher jet-fuel feedstock costs.
65% confidenceSaudi Aramco →Prices riseA strike on Iran that disrupts regional oil exports and shipping would likely tighten crude markets and raise Saudi Aramco's crude-oil feedstock cost; the dependency is real but only moderate given the 6% share and partial substitutability.
62% confidenceHop 2
Crude Oil Feedstock →Prices riseCrude oil feedstock is a critical input, so a disruption in crude supply pushes gasoline and diesel prices higher almost immediately.
97% confidenceCrude Oil Feedstock →Prices riseBecause home heating oil is directly made from crude feedstock, a crude supply shock lifts its production cost and market price.
95% confidenceCrude Oil Feedstock →Prices riseIrving Oil faces higher crude input costs and its low substitutability plus six-month replacement lead time make the shock sticky.
Hop 3
Gulf Coast crude oil feedstock (jet fraction) →Shortage riskThis node is a critical input into jet fuel, so a disruption in Gulf Coast jet-fraction feedstock would directly tighten jet fuel supply.
91% confidenceGasoline and diesel →DelaysCrude Transportation — Pipeline & Marine
Regional shipping-flow disruption would delay crude deliveries into refineries, slowing the transport step that underpins gasoline and diesel production.
81% confidenceHome heating oil →DelaysPipeline & Marine Transport to Northeast Hubs
A strike-related disruption to regional shipping would directly delay the transport stage that moves home heating oil into Northeast hubs.
77% confidence
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Jet fuel · Gasoline and diesel · Home heating oil
Companies you may own
Irving OilSaudi AramcoLHX
Tap a company to see what it told the SEC could break it.
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