Timah records a 55 percent increase in ore production
Tin ore output rose sharply, increasing potential supply of tin feedstock.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from PT Timah, we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Float Bath Tin (refined tin metal) →Stands to benefitPT TimahTINS.JK
This is the company behind the reported production surge, and as a listed supplier of refined tin metal it should benefit from higher output.
89% confidenceRefined Tin →Prices easeChina accounts for 52% of the exposed downstream share, so the higher refined tin supply should materially ease feedstock prices there.
86% confidenceRefined Tin →Prices easeThis good has a 0.55 dependency strength on refined tin inputs, so more refined tin should lower packaging-material costs.
82% confidencePT Timah →supply upFloat Bath Tin (refined tin metal)
PT Timah's production surge should raise availability of its tin-metal output, and this edge is a relatively concentrated, hard-to-replace supply link (8% share, low substitutability, long replacement lead time).
81% confidencePT Timah →supply upThe higher ore/metal production reported for PT Timah points to more refined tin feedstock, though the edge is somewhat more substitutable and the market share is smaller than the float-bath tin link.
80% confidenceRefined Tin →Prices easeYunnan Tin Co., Ltd.000960.SZ
With a 25% share of the exposed demand for refined tin, the supply increase should ease its input costs.
75% confidenceYunnan Tin Co., Ltd. →supply upTimah's higher ore output should ease upstream tin feedstock availability, and this is Yunnan Tin's direct tin-metal input with substantial share and moderate replacement friction.
69% confidenceFloat Bath Tin (refined tin metal) →supply upFloat Bath Tin is a critical input for this good, so more refined tin availability should ease the constraint and improve availability.
61% confidenceHop 2
Glass and windows →supply upFloat Bath Tin (refined tin metal)
Timah’s higher ore output should increase availability of tin feedstock, and glass and windows is highly dependent on float bath tin as a critical input.
79% confidence