Mazot şoku fields hit planting and harvest
A diesel/fuel shock is affecting farm planting and harvesting, threatening agricultural output and food supply flow.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Gasoline and diesel, we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Gasoline and diesel →DelaysFarm planting and harvesting operations
Diesel shortages have directly halted planting work and left farm machinery waiting on fuel, so farm operations slow or stop.
“Na soja, há máquinas paradas à espera de diesel para preparar as áreas, a dois dias da abertura do calendário regular de plantio da cultura no Estado.”
92% confidenceCited →Marine Diesel and Bunker Fuel →Shortage riskMarine diesel is a critical input for fishing fleets and seafood logistics, so a diesel shock can curtail landings and reduce seafood availability.
88% confidenceMarine Diesel and Bunker Fuel →DelaysCrop planting and harvesting
Diesel shocks raise operating costs and can slow field operations because farms depend heavily on diesel for planting and harvest.
“America’s farmers and ranchers rely heavily upon diesel to plant, grow and harvest their crops, and to get them to market.”
82% confidenceCited →Animal feed →Shortage riskSoybean Meal (Animal Feed Protein)
Soybean meal is a critical high-dependency protein input for animal feed, and the crop-output losses in the supplied reports imply tighter soybean-derived feed ingredient supply.
71% confidenceSoybean Oil (Biodiesel Feedstock) →Prices riseNeste CorporationNESTE
Neste uses vegetable oils as biofuel feedstock, so a diesel-driven soybean-oil bottleneck mainly raises its input costs, especially with only moderate substitutability and a 6-month replacement lead time.
67% confidenceSoybean Oil (Biodiesel Feedstock) →Prices riseArcher-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM)ADM
ADM's soybean-oil input gets more expensive as planting and harvest disruptions reduce supply, and the 4-month replacement horizon points to a meaningful cost shock.
62% confidenceSoybean Oil (Biodiesel Feedstock) →Prices riseBunge faces higher soybean-oil procurement costs from the agricultural diesel shock, and the moderate substitutability makes the effect material but not crippling.
58% confidenceSoybean Oil (Biodiesel Feedstock) →Prices riseCargill's soybean-oil input becomes costlier when field fuel shortages tighten supply, and the edge attributes imply only moderate substitution with a multi-month replacement lag.
58% confidenceHop 2
Soybean Meal (Animal Feed Protein) →Shortage riskSoybean meal is a critical, high-dependency input to animal feed, so a diesel-driven production halt that cuts soybean meal availability directly constrains feed supply.
94% confidenceSeafood and fish →DelaysWild Capture / Aquaculture Harvest
A diesel and bunker-fuel shock directly slows or cancels fishing and aquaculture harvest operations, delaying the seafood supply produced at this step.
86% confidenceCargill, Incorporated →Shortage riskDiesel-dependent planting and harvest disruptions would tighten soybean availability into Cargill, and the 20% share plus short 2-month replacement window make the transmission moderately strong.
Hop 3
Soybeans →Shortage riskSoybeans are a critical input to cooking oils, so a planting/harvest halt tightens feedstock supply for oil production.
94% confidenceCorn Grain (Swine Feed — Primary Energy) →Shortage riskCorn grain is a critical 0.95-strength feed input for pork production, so a diesel-driven planting/harvest shock can directly tighten pork and pork-products supply.
91% confidenceSoybeans →Shortage riskBrazil accounts for 38% of soybean supply, so a fuel-driven planting and harvest shock can materially constrain its soybean output.
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Seafood and fish · Animal feed · Cooking oils · Pork and pork products · Snacks & confectionery · Pet food and supplies · Infant formula
In the MyPRIA app, this is checked against your own holdings.