← World Watch
Disruptionchokepoint disruption · October 5, 2026
Indian refineries refuse discounted Russian oil due to Black Sea incident
The headline indicates a disruption affecting Russian crude flows through the Black Sea, which could constrain refinery feedstock availability and tanker movements.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Sunflower seeds, we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Sunflower seeds →Shortage riskUkraine's 29% share means Black Sea disruption materially cuts the sunflower-seed flow coming from this source.
91% confidenceSunflower seeds →Shortage riskRussia's 27% share makes it another major source whose sunflower-seed flow is constrained by the Black Sea shock.
90% confidenceSunflower seeds →Shortage riskKernel's 10% share and 18-month replacement time make it highly exposed to a sunflower-seed supply shock.