Gazprom says it refused gas to Europe after a Russian economic strike
The headline indicates a gas supply cutoff from Russia to Europe, affecting cross-border natural gas availability.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Gazprom (ПАО Газпром), we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Gazprom (ПАО Газпром) →Shortage riskNatural Gas (Pipeline-Grade, >95% Methane)
Gazprom’s strike-driven production halt tightens supply of pipeline-grade gas, and the long replacement lead time makes the domestic shortfall persistent.
79% confidenceUralchem / TogliattiAzot (ToAz) →Shortage riskAmmonium Nitrate (AN) — Fertilizer / Mining Explosive
Gas shortages can constrain ToAz's nitrogen-fertilizer production, tightening ammonium nitrate supply downstream.
72% confidenceUralchem / TogliattiAzot (ToAz) →Shortage riskAnhydrous Ammonia (MAP / DAP Production)
Feedstock constraints can reduce ammonia output, making anhydrous ammonia scarcer, though this stream is smaller and more substitutable.
Hop 2
Anhydrous Ammonia (MAP / DAP Production) →Shortage riskPotash and phosphate fertilizers
Anhydrous ammonia is a critical input for MAP/DAP fertilizer production, so an ammonia shortfall directly constrains output of potash and phosphate fertilizers.
93% confidenceUrea (Granular/Prilled, 46% N) →Shortage riskUrea is a critical, high-dependency nitrogen input for fertilizers and crop inputs, so a Russian urea production disruption directly tightens downstream supply and raises costs.
93% confidenceNatural Gas (Pipeline-Grade, >95% Methane) →Shortage riskHop 3
Ammonia and nitrogen fertilizers →Shortage riskNatural Gas (Haber-Bosch Feedstock and Fuel)
Ammonia and nitrogen fertilizer production is highly dependent on natural gas as both Haber-Bosch feedstock and plant fuel, so a Russian gas shortage directly constrains this critical input.
95% confidencePotash and phosphate fertilizers →Shortage riskNatural Gas (Process Heat & Ammonia Coupling)
Potash and phosphate fertilizer production still relies on natural gas for process heat and ammonia coupling, so Russia's gas disruption keeps this key input scarce.
94% confidenceFertilizers and crop inputs →Shortage riskHop 4
Natural Gas (Process Heat & Ammonia Coupling) →Shortage riskRussia supplies 14.39% of this natural-gas input, so domestic gas shortages there plausibly reduce the feedstock available for process heat and ammonia coupling, though alternatives limit the hit.
82% confidence
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Potash and phosphate fertilizers · Fertilizers and crop inputs · Electricity (residential) · Ammonia and nitrogen fertilizers
Companies you may own
Uralchem / TogliattiAzot (ToAz)
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