Drone attack in Cologne: power plant blocks taken offline after sabotage
A sabotage attack forced power-plant blocks offline, reducing electricity supply.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Electricite de France S.A. (EDF), we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Electricity (Grid Power) →Shortage riskIndustrial gases are a highly electricity-dependent input, so a four-day grid outage should sharply curtail production and availability.
96% confidenceElectricite de France S.A. (EDF) →Shortage riskIndustrial electricity (high-voltage)
A four-day EDF plant outage can cut available high-voltage electricity supply, and this edge reflects a nontrivial but not dominant 5% market-share exposure.
86% confidenceElectricite de France S.A. (EDF) →Shortage riskElectricity (electrolytic refining)
The same outage can also tighten electricity available for electrolytic refining, but the exposure is smaller at 2% market share and thus likely more limited.
Hop 2
Eskom Holdings SOC Ltd. →Shortage riskGrid Electricity for PGM Smelting (South Africa / Russia)
A four-day power-plant outage at Eskom would directly reduce grid electricity availability, and this input is heavily dependent on Eskom with 70% market share and low substitutability.
90% confidenceElectricity (electrolytic refining) →Shortage riskElectrolytic refining is highly electricity-intensive, and this good is marked as a critical downstream input dependency on electricity, so a 4-day power outage should directly constrain output.
89% confidenceIndustrial electricity (high-voltage) →Shortage riskHop 3
Medical oxygen →Shortage riskLiquid oxygen storage and tanker distribution
A four-day medical oxygen shortfall leaves less liquid oxygen to store and move by tanker, tightening downstream distribution.
89% confidenceMedical oxygen →Shortage riskCylinder filling or on-site generation
When central medical oxygen supply is curtailed, cylinder filling and any on-site generation fed by that supply become constrained.
88% confidenceMedical oxygen →Shortage riskHospital pipeline and manifold distribution
Hospitals' manifold and pipeline systems face tighter supply when the oxygen stream from upstream storage and filling is interrupted.
86% confidence
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Industrial gases · Palladium and platinum group metals · Copper and electrical wiring · Medical oxygen
Companies you may own
GMKNEskom Holdings SOC Ltd.
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