Ukraińska infrastruktura gazowa celem ataku. Naftohaz potwierdza straty
An attack on Ukraine's gas infrastructure likely disrupts natural gas flows and related transit capacity.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Interstate natural gas transmission pipelines, we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Interstate natural gas transmission pipelines →Shortage riskHousehold gas supply is highly dependent on interstate transmission pipelines, and this edge is explicitly critical (0.95 dependency strength).
96% confidenceInterstate natural gas transmission pipelines →Shortage riskThe edge assigns the full U.S. share to interstate gas transmission pipelines, so a disruption to this node propagates nationally.
92% confidenceInterstate natural gas transmission pipelines →Shortage riskNortheast US (New England + Mid-Atlantic)
This region accounts for 28% of the pipeline share on the edge, so reduced transmission capacity should tighten supply here materially.
Hop 2
Natural gas (home) →Shortage riskLocal distribution (LDC mains)
Damage to transmission capacity leaves less gas feeding local distribution mains, so the LDC step becomes throughput-constrained.
84% confidenceNatural gas (home) →Stands to benefitUnderground natural gas storage (depleted fields & salt caverns)
Storage is a substitute balancing source, so it is drawn on more heavily when pipeline gas is disrupted.
72% confidenceNatural gas (home) →Stands to benefitLNG peak-shaving and import facilities
Disrupted pipeline transit shifts demand toward LNG peak-shaving and import capacity as an alternative supply route.
Hop 3
Underground natural gas storage (depleted fields & salt caverns) →Shortage riskSouthern California Gas Company (SoCalGas)
A sole-qualified supplier with 240-month replacement time and very low substitutability makes SoCalGas vulnerable to a storage shortfall.
74% confidenceUnderground natural gas storage (depleted fields & salt caverns) →Shortage riskThe U.S. captures 56% of the supply share here, so a storage disruption would register as a national shortage.
73% confidenceUnderground natural gas storage (depleted fields & salt caverns) →Shortage riskHop 4
Kinder Morgan, Inc. →Prices riseUkraine's gas infrastructure damage tightens global gas supply, making pipeline-grade natural gas more expensive for Kinder Morgan's operations.
71% confidenceKinder Morgan, Inc. →Prices riseUnderground Salt Cavern Storage Infrastructure
With transit capacity disrupted, flexible salt-cavern storage becomes more valuable and costlier to access, especially given its very low substitutability.
57% confidenceNiSource Inc. →Shortage riskHop 5
Natural Gas (Pipeline-Grade) →Prices riseResidential electricity depends heavily on this input (dependency_strength=0.9, critical=true), so the gas disruption should lift power prices.
92% confidenceNatural Gas (Pipeline-Grade) →Prices riseThe U.S. share is 97%, so most of the shock transmits as higher domestic gas prices.
89% confidenceUnderground Salt Cavern Storage Infrastructure →Shortage riskSalt caverns are a critical storage input for home-use propane, so disruption should reduce available propane supply.
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Natural gas (home) · Residential Electricity · Propane (home use)
In the MyPRIA app, this is checked against your own holdings.