Democratic Republic of Congo: more than 5,000 deaths from the Ebola epidemic
The Ebola outbreak in the DRC could disrupt labor, movement, and local production and trade if it spreads further.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Cobalt Ore (DRC), we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Cobalt and Molybdenum Metals (catalyst precursors) →Shortage riskEbola-related labor, movement, and trade disruption in the DRC can materially tighten this input's supply, and this edge assigns the DRC a 68% supply share.
84% confidenceCobalt Ore (DRC) →Shortage riskCobalt ore from the DRC is a critical upstream input, so an Ebola-related disruption there would directly reduce availability of cobalt and battery minerals.
80% confidenceEurasian Resources Group (ERG) →Shortage riskERG's DRC cobalt ore supply is directly exposed to DRC labor, movement, and local-production disruptions from the Ebola outbreak, so this input is likely to become scarcer, though the effect is moderated by its 7% share and some substitutability.
Hop 2
Cobalt and battery minerals →Shortage riskCobalt Sulfate / Refined Cobalt Production
Ebola-related labor, movement, and trade disruptions in the DRC can tighten cobalt feedstock availability and local refining capacity, directly constraining refined cobalt and cobalt sulfate production.
79% confidenceDemocratic Republic of Congo →Shortage riskDRC supplies 74% of this input, so an Ebola-related disruption to labor, movement, and local trade can materially tighten supply.
78% confidenceDemocratic Republic of Congo →Shortage riskWith DRC accounting for 74% of supply, a country-level outbreak can constrain refined cobalt availability through production and logistics disruption.
Hop 3
Tantalum Capacitors →Shortage riskTaniobis GmbH (formerly H.C. Starck Tantalum & Niobium)
This company faces the same low-substitutability, long-replacement exposure, so a disruption in tantalum capacitor supply would create a sizable shortage risk.
73% confidenceTantalum Capacitors →Shortage riskThis company is tied to tantalum capacitor supply, and the low substitutability plus 24-month replacement time means a DRC-driven supply shock would materially constrain availability.
73% confidenceTantalum Capacitors →Shortage riskHop 4
Kyocera Corporation →Shortage riskKyocera has a meaningful reliance on tantalum capacitors (18% market share, 9-month replacement lead time), so the DRC Ebola disruption can tighten supply of this input and make it harder to replace quickly.
79% confidenceGlobal Advanced Metals (GAM) →Shortage riskIf Global Advanced Metals is constrained, the supply of tantalum capacitors tightens because this input has low substitutability (0.25) and a long replacement lead time (24 months).
67% confidenceTaniobis GmbH (formerly H.C. Starck Tantalum & Niobium) →Shortage risk
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Cobalt and battery minerals · GPUs and AI accelerators · Computers and laptops
In the MyPRIA app, this is checked against your own holdings.