Pakistan flour crisis: Peshawar wheat prices rise and roti costs surge
A flour shortage and wheat price spike in Pakistan indicate constrained supply of wheat flour and bread inputs.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Bread, grains, and flour, we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Bread, grains, and flour →Prices riseBread Production & Fermentation
Flour scarcity in Peshawar pushed roti prices up sharply, so bread-making operations face higher input and production costs.
95% confidenceBread, grains, and flour →Prices riseDistribution & Retail
Retail roti prices rose to around Rs30-40 and some markets stopped selling single rotis, indicating higher prices through the retail channel.
90% confidenceCereal Grain (Oats / Corn / Wheat / Rice) →Prices riseA critical 0.9-dependency on cereal grains means a wheat/flour squeeze pushes up costs for grain-based breakfast foods.
84% confidenceHop 2
Breakfast cereal & grains →DelaysGrain Sourcing & Milling
A wheat/flour shock slows the grain-sourcing and milling step because breakfast cereal production depends on cereal grain inputs.
64% confidenceGeneral Mills →Prices riseWalmart Inc.WMT
General Mills' large Walmart customer relationship means a wheat-driven cost squeeze can be passed through as higher wholesale prices on some General Mills products sold to Walmart.
55% confidencePepsiCo →Shortage riskWalmart Inc.WMT
PepsiCo disclosed Walmart and its affiliates represented about 14% of consolidated net revenue, so a PepsiCo production squeeze can reduce Pepsi product availability at Walmart.
Hop 3
Celsius Holdings, Inc. →Shortage riskPepsiCo is a disclosed customer accounting for 43.2% of Celsius's net revenue, so any Celsius supply disruption can materially reduce deliveries of Celsius products to PepsiCo.
75% confidenceRBD Palm Oil (Confectionery & Bakery Fat) →Prices easeIndonesia supplies 59.6% of this RBD palm oil market, so weaker confectionery and bakery demand from the flour crisis should pressure Indonesian palm oil prices and exporter revenue.
58% confidenceRBD Palm Oil (Confectionery & Bakery Fat) →Prices ease
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Breakfast cereal & grains · Snacks & confectionery · Bread, grains, and flour
In the MyPRIA app, this is checked against your own holdings.