Food

Bread, grains, and flour

Bread, pasta, rice, flour, and other grain-based household staples.

Why it matters · Price spikes and contamination events can quickly affect household pantry costs and access.

4

Inputs

22

Companies

14

Facilities

10

Source countries

How it's made

The process

  1. 01

    Wheat Farming & Fertilization

    Winter or spring wheat planted; nitrogen fertilizers (from Haber-Bosch ammonia) critical for yield; phosphate from Morocco/OCP; drought, disease (wheat blast, rust), and geopolitical disruptions at farm level determine global supply before markets react

  2. 02

    Harvest, Drying & Grain Elevator Storage

    Combines harvest; grain delivered to elevators for moisture testing, cleaning, and storage; country elevators aggregate to terminal elevators; ABCD trading houses control terminal elevator networks at port export positions

  3. 03

    Global Grain Trading & Shipping

    ABCD houses (ADM, Bunge, Cargill, Louis Dreyfus) originate, finance, transport, and sell 70-90% of global wheat; Black Sea export infrastructure (Odessa, Chornomorsk, Pivdennyi) handles ~32% of global wheat exports from Russia/Ukraine; ocean freight and port congestion are key bottlenecks

  4. 04

    Flour Milling

    Wheat received, cleaned, tempered with water to toughen bran; fed through roller mills in gradual reduction; sifted and air-separated into flour streams by particle size/protein content; blended to spec (bread flour, all-purpose, cake); vital wheat gluten may be added to boost protein content

  5. 05

    Bread Production & Fermentation

    Industrial bakeries: flour, water, yeast, salt, and bread improvers mixed; bulk fermentation (30-120 min); dividing, molding, proofing; baking 200-240°C; cooling and packaging; commercial bread has 3-7 day shelf life; artisan sourdough uses wild yeast (no commercial yeast dependency)

  6. 06

    Distribution & Retail

    Bread distributed via DSD (direct store delivery) — bread companies own delivery trucks and stock shelves; highly perishable (3-7 days); national brands (Flowers Foods, Bimbo Bakeries) and store-brand bakers dominate retail; flour shipped in bulk to industrial users and retail bags to consumers

Where it comes from

Country dependencies

Weighted share of upstream inputs sourced from each country.

CountryWeighted shareInputs supplied to bread, grains, and flour
CNChina43%Baker's Yeast (Commercial Leavening) · Vital Wheat Gluten
RURussia26%Black Sea Wheat (Russia & Ukraine Exports)
FRFrance16%Baker's Yeast (Commercial Leavening) · Vital Wheat Gluten
AUAustralia12%Black Sea Wheat (Russia & Ukraine Exports)
USUnited States10%Baker's Yeast (Commercial Leavening) · Black Sea Wheat (Russia & Ukraine Exports) · Vital Wheat Gluten
BEBelgium9%Vital Wheat Gluten
BRBrazil8%Baker's Yeast (Commercial Leavening)
NLNetherlands6%Baker's Yeast (Commercial Leavening)
UAUkraine6%Black Sea Wheat (Russia & Ukraine Exports)
ATAustria3%Vital Wheat Gluten

Who makes it

Supplier companies

22 companies in this supply chain, sorted by market share.

Gruma (GRUMAB.MX)
HQ MX70% share

World's largest corn flour and tortilla manufacturer; brands: Maseca, Mission Foods, Guerrero; controls ~70% of Mexico's corn flour market and >50% of US tortilla market; in some Mexican markets, 9 out of 10 kg of tortilla flour is Gruma/Maseca; found to have 'no competitive conditions' by Mexican regulator COFECE in 2024

Supplies these inputs

Corn Masa Flour (Nixtamal)

Replaceability

Substitutability 15% · 12 mo to replace

Business segments

  • Corn Flour / Masa Harina (Maseca Brand)45% rev
  • Flatbreads (Mission Foods)35% rev
  • Wheat Flour + Seeds20% rev
Lesaffre Group
HQ FR40% share

Lesaffre Group (Marcq-en-Baroeul, Nord, France; private cooperative structure controlled by Lesaffre and Dyckerhoff families; ~3B EUR revenue 2024) is the world's largest commercial yeast company with approximately 40% global market share for baker's yeast. Lesaffre operates production in more than 50 countries, with 85+ plants and subsidiaries. Key brands include Saf-Instant (instant dry yeast — one of the world's most widely distributed baking ingredients), Saf-Levure, Acti-Fresh (fresh compressed yeast), and dozens of regional yeast brands. Lesaffre's supply chain is built around aerobic fermentation of Saccharomyces cerevisiae using molasses (a sugar refining byproduct) as the primary carbon source; Lesaffre plants are often co-located near sugar mills to access low-cost molasses. Beyond baker's yeast, Lesaffre is a major producer of yeast extracts (Springer brand), yeast-based flavors, fermentation ingredients for animal nutrition, and yeast autolysates for pharmaceutical and biotech applications. Lesaffre's cooperative ownership structure (not publicly listed) allows for long-horizon capital investment in fermentation R&D that public competitors cannot match on R&D intensity.

Supplies these inputs

Baker's Yeast (Commercial Leavening)

Replaceability

Substitutability 5% · 6 mo to replace

Business segments

  • Baker's Yeast (World #1)40% rev
  • Yeast Extracts + Savory Flavors20% rev
  • Fermentation Biotechnology + Pharma25% rev
  • Animal Nutrition15% rev

AB Mauri (Peterborough, Cambridgeshire, UK; division of Associated British Foods plc LSE: ABF; ~1.8B GBP revenue 2024) is the world's second-largest commercial yeast and bakery ingredients company, with approximately 25% global market share. AB Mauri's portfolio includes Fleischmann's Yeast (North America — the iconic consumer yeast brand originally introduced to the US by Charles Fleischmann in 1868 from Vienna; historically the dominant US yeast brand for 150 years), Mauri Yeast (Asia-Pacific), Volare (Latin America), and many regional brands. AB Mauri operates approximately 50 production plants in 32 countries. Its parent, Associated British Foods, also owns Primark (fast fashion retail), Twinings tea, Ovaltine, and a major sugar business (British Sugar) — making AB Mauri one of the few yeast companies with direct upstream access to molasses from affiliated sugar operations. AB Mauri's Fleischmann's brand retains strong consumer recognition in the US baking market despite the brand's industrial ownership being largely unknown to consumers.

Supplies these inputs

Baker's Yeast (Commercial Leavening)

Replaceability

Substitutability 35% · 6 mo to replace

Business segments

  • Baker's Yeast (Consumer & Artisan)40% rev
  • Industrial Baker's Yeast (Commercial Bakeries)35% rev
  • Fermentation Solutions (Ethanol & Spirits)15% rev
  • Bakery Ingredients & Improvers10% rev
Ardent Mills
HQ US18% share

Largest US flour milling company (~17.8% of US flour milling revenue); formed May 2014 as JV of Cargill (44%), ConAgra (44%), CHS (12%); operates 40+ mills and bakery-mix facilities across US, Canada, Puerto Rico; supplies commercial bakeries, food manufacturers, and foodservice

Supplies these inputs

Black Sea Wheat (Russia & Ukraine Exports)

Replaceability

Substitutability 45% · 3 mo to replace

Business segments

  • Wheat Flour (US #1)65% rev
  • Bakery Mixes + Premixes20% rev
  • Specialty + Ancient Grains10% rev
  • Industrial Wheat Starch5% rev
Bunge Limited (BG)
HQ US18% share

American-Swiss agribusiness and food company (NYSE: BG, HQ Chesterfield MO; ~$60B revenue); one of the four dominant global grain and oilseed trading companies (ABCD: ADM, Bunge, Cargill, Louis Dreyfus). Bunge processes soybean oil in the US, Brazil, and Argentina, and sunflower oil in Ukraine, Russia, and Europe — both major components of infant formula fat blends. Bunge's Ukraine operations (sunflower oil pressing) were significantly disrupted by Russia's 2022 invasion. Bunge also owns Loders Croklaan rival specialty fats business via its merger with Viterra (approved 2024). Bunge's co-ownership of the Bunge-Viterra combination gave it major oilseed processing capacity in Ukraine that was physically at risk during the 2022 war.

Supplies these inputs

Black Sea Wheat (Russia & Ukraine Exports)

Replaceability

Substitutability 30% · 6 mo to replace

Business segments

  • Agribusiness (Grain and Oilseed Trading)50% rev
  • Oilseed Processing25% rev
  • Refined and Specialty Oils15% rev
  • Sugar and Bioenergy + Milling10% rev

Cargill, Incorporated (Wayzata MN; private; ~$177B revenue FY2023; founded 1865; largest private company in the US by revenue) is the world's third-largest soybean crusher by capacity and the largest private commodity trading firm globally. Cargill operates soybean processing facilities in the US (Eddyville IA, Iowa Falls IA, Memphis TN, Wichita KS, Sidney OH) and Brazil (multiple Mato Grosso do Sul and Parana state locations). Cargill's animal nutrition division (Cargill Premix and Nutrition) directly sells soybean meal-based swine feed supplements and complete swine feed rations to US hog producers — vertically integrating crush to feed formulation. Cargill is both a major soybean meal producer (from its crush operations) and a major swine feed seller (through its nutrition business), making it uniquely positioned across the soybean-to-pork value chain. Cargill is family-controlled (Whitney MacMillan family) and does not report detailed financial segments publicly. US soybean crush: Cargill holds an estimated 15-20% of US crush capacity.

Supplies these inputs

Black Sea Wheat (Russia & Ukraine Exports)

Replaceability

Substitutability 45% · 3 mo to replace

Business segments

  • Agricultural Supply Chain (Trading + Origination)40% rev
  • Animal Nutrition + Protein25% rev
  • Food Ingredients20% rev
  • Bioindustrial + Financial15% rev

COFCO International Ltd. (Geneva Switzerland; wholly-owned subsidiary of COFCO Corporation — Chinese state-owned grain conglomerate; ~$40B revenue FY2023) is China's primary vehicle for controlling South American agricultural commodity supply chains. COFCO International was formed through COFCO Corporation's 2014-2015 acquisition of Nidera (Dutch grain trader) and Noble Agri (Hong Kong-based South American agricom) — giving the Chinese state direct soybean origination in Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay. COFCO International crushes soybeans in China (Tianjin, Qingdao, Zhangjiagang) — primarily processing imported Brazilian and Argentine soybeans. COFCO Corporation's domestic Chinese crush operations are among the largest in China, processing an estimated 25-30 million MT of soybeans annually for China's domestic soybean meal demand. COFCO International's South American origination assets allow China's state-owned grain apparatus to originate, ship, and crush soybeans entirely within Chinese state-controlled or state-linked entities — reducing dependence on ABCD Western grain traders. This vertical integration from Brazilian farm to Chinese crusher is the culmination of China's 'grain security' strategy implemented since 2014.

Supplies these inputs

Black Sea Wheat (Russia & Ukraine Exports)

Replaceability

Substitutability 45% · 3 mo to replace

Business segments

  • South American Origination45% rev
  • Grain Trading & Export30% rev
  • Processing & Crushing15% rev
  • Distribution & Port Logistics10% rev

Angel Yeast Co., Ltd. (Yichang, Hubei Province, China; SZSE: 600298; ~8B CNY revenue 2024) is China's largest commercial yeast company and the world's third-largest, with approximately 10% global market share for baker's yeast. Angel's Yichang, Hubei facility is the world's largest single yeast production site — a massive integrated fermentation complex on the Yangtze River that benefits from cheap molasses sourced from China's southern sugarcane belt and convenient river logistics. Beyond baker's yeast, Angel Yeast is a major global producer of yeast extract (used in food flavoring, MSG alternatives, and animal feed), nutritional yeast, yeast-derived proteins, and specialty fermentation ingredients for the food, pharmaceutical, and aquaculture industries. Angel Yeast has aggressively expanded internationally, establishing manufacturing in Egypt, Russia, Ethiopia, and Indonesia to serve non-Chinese markets with locally produced yeast. The company's Yichang plant alone is estimated to produce more yeast than many entire countries.

Supplies these inputs

Baker's Yeast (Commercial Leavening)

Replaceability

Substitutability 45% · 6 mo to replace

Business segments

  • Baker's Yeast45% rev
  • Yeast Extract & Flavoring25% rev
  • Nutritional Yeast & Proteins20% rev
  • Specialty Fermentation Ingredients10% rev

Kernel Holding S.A. (Luxembourg holding company; Ukraine operations; Warsaw Stock Exchange: KER; ~$6B revenue; Andriy Verevsky founder and controlling shareholder) is Ukraine's largest grain and oilseed exporter and the world's largest producer of sunflower oil. Kernel operates 12 grain storage terminals, 4 port terminals in Chornomorsk and Mykolaiv (Black Sea), and multiple crushing plants for sunflower seeds. Pre-2022, Kernel's Chornomorsk (formerly Odessa region) port terminals were Ukraine's primary grain export infrastructure. Russia's 2022 full-scale invasion directly impacted Kernel: port terminal operations were disrupted; the Black Sea Grain Initiative (July 2022) enabled partial resumption of Chornomorsk exports; Russia's withdrawal from the initiative in July 2023 re-disrupted Kernel's primary export route. Kernel adapted by increasing Danube River exports (Reni/Izmail terminals) and rail export via Polish border crossings — but at significantly higher logistics cost.

Supplies these inputs

Black Sea Wheat (Russia & Ukraine Exports)

Replaceability

Substitutability 35% · 6 mo to replace

Business segments

  • Sunflower Oil Crushing & Export45% rev
  • Grain Export Infrastructure35% rev
  • Farming Operations15% rev
  • Other Agro-Industrial5% rev

Large Chinese wheat deep-processing company with 800,000 MT/year wheat input capacity and ¥2B annual output value; one of the largest VWG producers in Shandong province, a key Chinese export hub for wheat proteins.

Supplies these inputs

Vital Wheat Gluten

Replaceability

Substitutability 65% · 4 mo to replace

Business segments

  • Vital Wheat Gluten45% rev
  • Wheat Starch35% rev
  • Wheat Protein & Other20% rev
Lallemand Inc.
HQ CA8% share

Lallemand Inc. (Montreal, Quebec, Canada; private; founded 1934; annual revenue estimated ~500M USD) is a major specialty yeast and fermentation company covering baker's yeast, wine yeast, beer yeast, bioethanol yeast, and animal nutrition probiotic yeasts. Lallemand holds approximately 8% market share in global baker's yeast, concentrated in specialty and artisan markets. The company acquired Evolva's fermentation assets in 2019 and has deep expertise in yeast strain development across applications. Lallemand's R&D is particularly strong in bioethanol yeast (for fuel ethanol production), wine and beer fermentation yeasts, and probiotic Saccharomyces cerevisiae var. boulardii strains for human health. Lallemand's Alltech and Lallemand Animal Nutrition divisions supply probiotic yeast products to the livestock industry globally. The company is privately held by the Marcoux family and has expanded through acquisitions to operate in more than 40 countries.

Supplies these inputs

Baker's Yeast (Commercial Leavening)

Replaceability

Substitutability 45% · 8 mo to replace

Business segments

  • Baker's Yeast30% rev
  • Wine & Beer Yeast25% rev
  • Bioethanol & Fuel Yeast20% rev
  • Animal Nutrition Probiotics25% rev

Major Chinese wheat deep-processing conglomerate; approximately 60,000 MT/year of vital wheat gluten capacity; also one of China's largest fuel ethanol producers from wheat, giving it a dual-use role in energy policy.

Supplies these inputs

Vital Wheat Gluten

Replaceability

Substitutability 65% · 4 mo to replace

Business segments

  • Vital Wheat Gluten & Starch40% rev
  • Fuel Ethanol35% rev
  • Edible Alcohol & Fermentation15% rev
  • Animal Feed & Other10% rev

French family-owned starch and pharmaceutical excipients company; pioneered pharmaceutical-grade parenteral dextrose ~40 years ago; brand: Lycadex PF (pyrogen-free dextrose monohydrate for IV/PD solutions); operates new GMP injectable carbohydrate facility at Lestrem, France; supplies global PD solution and parenteral nutrition manufacturers; one of the largest pharmaceutical starch/glucose suppliers in Europe

Supplies these inputs

Vital Wheat Gluten

Replaceability

Substitutability 70% · 3 mo to replace

Business segments

  • Pharmaceutical Excipients & Parenteral35% rev
  • Food & Nutrition Ingredients30% rev
  • Industrial Starches & Sweeteners25% rev
  • Animal Nutrition10% rev
Tereos
HQ FR4% share

French agricultural cooperative and second-largest sugar group globally; major producer of vital wheat gluten, wheat starch, and ethanol from wheat. Plants in Normandy (Lillebonne) and Belgium. Has a bioplastics partnership with Futerro using wheat proteins.

Supplies these inputs

Vital Wheat Gluten

Replaceability

Substitutability 70% · 3 mo to replace

Business segments

  • Sugar (Beet & Cane)45% rev
  • Starch & Sweeteners25% rev
  • Alcohol & Energy20% rev
  • Innovative Products10% rev
AGRANA (AGR.VI)
HQ AT4% share

Austrian agro-industrial group; produces 50,000 tonnes of vital wheat gluten annually at its Pischelsdorf wet starch mill (€100M investment in second plant, 2019). Also produces ActiProt high-protein GMO-free animal feed as a co-product.

Supplies these inputs

Vital Wheat Gluten

Replaceability

Substitutability 72% · 3 mo to replace

Business segments

  • Starch (Wheat Protein & Starch)35% rev
  • Sugar (Beet)35% rev
  • Fruit (Preparations)30% rev
Amber Wave
HQ US3% share

Opened 2022 with $250M investment; North America's largest single wheat protein facility at 109 million lbs/year (≈49,500 MT) VWG capacity from a 27,500-cwt/day mill processing 20 million bushels of wheat annually.

Supplies these inputs

Vital Wheat Gluten

Replaceability

Substitutability 72% · 2 mo to replace

Business segments

  • Vital Wheat Gluten55% rev
  • Wheat Starch30% rev
  • Wheat Protein Specialties15% rev

Largest privately held company in the US by revenue (~$160B in FY2024). Cargill Protein – North America processes beef and pork with major plants at Dodge City KS (one of the world's largest beef plants), Schuyler NE (4,800 cattle/day, 2.7M lbs/day), Wichita KS (beef). ~22% of US beef packing (mid-2000s estimate; current share may be slightly lower). Also a major agricultural commodity trader, animal feed maker, and food ingredient supplier. Cargill's private structure means no public financial disclosure — making supply chain risk assessment harder. The Cargill family holds the majority of shares, making it the wealthiest private US company.

Supplies these inputs

Vital Wheat Gluten

Replaceability

Substitutability 72% · 2 mo to replace

Business segments

  • Agricultural Supply Chain (Trading)35% rev
  • Animal Protein (Beef, Pork)25% rev
  • Food Ingredients25% rev
  • Animal Nutrition + Financial15% rev
Leiber GmbH
HQ DE2% share

Leiber GmbH (Bramsche, Lower Saxony, Germany; private; subsidiary of Leiber Group; founded 1921) is a German specialty yeast company specializing in yeast extracts, yeast autolysates, and yeast cell wall products for the food, animal nutrition, and pharmaceutical industries. Leiber does not produce baker's yeast for direct baking use but is a significant downstream processor of yeast biomass (sourced partly from brewing industry surplus yeast and partly from dedicated fermentation) into high-value functional ingredients. Leiber's Bramsche facility produces yeast extract for food flavoring (savory enhancers, Marmite-type products), beta-glucan immunostimulants for animal feed, and yeast-derived peptides for pharmaceutical applications. Leiber is a key European supplier of yeast extract for meat analogs and plant-based foods, a rapidly growing market segment.

Supplies these inputs

Baker's Yeast (Commercial Leavening)

Replaceability

Substitutability 60% · 4 mo to replace

Business segments

Where it's made

Facilities

14 facilities producing inputs that feed bread, grains, and flour.

AGRANA Pischelsdorf Wheat Starch Plant

AT

AGRANA · Pischelsdorf, Lower Austria · wet_mill

50,000 MT/year VWG; €100M investment in second wet starch plant (2019). Also produces 50,000 MT wheat protein and ActiProt animal feed.

Amber Wave Phillipsburg Plant

US

Amber Wave · Phillipsburg, Kansas · wet_mill

North America's largest single wheat protein facility; 109M lbs/year (≈49,500 MT) VWG; opened 2022 with $250M investment.

Angel Yeast Yichang Production Complex

CN

Angel Yeast Co., Ltd. · Yichang, Hubei Province, China · manufacturing

Angel Yeast's flagship Yichang, Hubei production complex is the world's largest single yeast production site. Situated on the Yangtze River, the plant benefits from water access, favorable logistics, and proximity to southern China's sugarcane molasses supply. The Yichang complex produces baker's yeast (active dry, instant, compressed fresh), yeast extract, nutritional yeast, and specialty fermentation ingredients. The scale of the Yichang site gives Angel Yeast a cost position that allows it to undercut European competitors in emerging market tenders.

Anhui Bilvchun Lai'an Integrated Plant

CN

Anhui Bilvchun Biotechnology · Lai'an County, Anhui · wet_mill

20,000 MT/year VWG; 80,000 MT wheat starch; 100,000 MT edible alcohol from a single integrated site.

Ardent Mills US Mill Network (40+ facilities)

US

Ardent Mills · National Network (HQ: Denver, CO) · Flour Milling

Largest US flour milling network; 40+ mills from major grain-growing states to population centers; largest individual mills in Omaha NE and other wheat belt cities; ~17.8% of US flour milling revenue

Bunge North America New Orleans Grain Terminal

US

Bunge Limited · Reserve, Louisiana · Grain Export Terminal

Major export gateway for US grain (wheat, soy, corn) to global markets; part of Bunge's US grain export corridor; Mississippi River terminal position provides access to entire US grain belt

Gruma Monterrey Corn Flour Operations

MX

Gruma · Monterrey, Nuevo León · Corn Masa Flour Manufacturing

Gruma headquarters region and core corn flour manufacturing base; supplies Maseca brand across Mexico and exports to US; Mexican competition regulator found no competitive market conditions in corn flour for tortilla shops in 2024

Henan Tianguan Nanyang Complex

CN

Henan Tianguan Enterprise Group · Nanyang, Henan · wet_mill

~60,000 MT/year VWG; integrated wheat processing + fuel ethanol complex; dual role in food ingredients and energy policy.

Lesaffre Marquette-lez-Lille Production Complex

FR

Lesaffre Group · Marquette-lez-Lille, Nord · Baker's Yeast Production

Historic founding site of Lesaffre (1853); flagship yeast production and R&D campus; produces compressed and dry baker's yeast for European and export markets; combined with global network of 63 plants

MGP Ingredients Atchison Plant

US

MGP Ingredients · Atchison, Kansas · wet_mill

Largest installed vital wheat gluten capacity in the US; also distills American whiskey. Ingredient Solutions division HQ.

PureField Ingredients Russell Plant

US

PureField Ingredients · Russell, Kansas · wet_mill

Largest North American VWG facility; produces >50% of all wheat protein made in America. 50% expansion completed 2021.

Roquette Lestrem Plant

FR

Roquette Frères S.A. · Lestrem, Hauts-de-France · wet_mill

Roquette primary production facility and company headquarters; produces VITEN vital wheat gluten; 250+ R&D researchers on site.

Shandong Qufeng Qufu Processing Complex

CN

Shandong Qufeng Food Technology · Qufu, Shandong · wet_mill

800,000 MT/year wheat input capacity; ¥2B annual output; Shandong province is a key VWG export hub via Qingdao port.

Tereos Lillebonne Plant

FR

Tereos · Lillebonne, Normandy · wet_mill

Main French VWG production plant; co-produces gluten, dextrose, and wheat starch.