Ukraine-Krieg im Liveticker: Russische Raketen zerstören Öl- und Gasanlage in Poltawa
A missile strike destroyed an oil and gas facility in Poltava, disrupting output of energy-related commodities.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Iceblick Ltd. (Odesa, Ukraine), we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Uralchem / TogliattiAzot (ToAz) →Shortage riskAmmonium Nitrate (AN) — Fertilizer / Mining Explosive
If ToAz production is constrained, ammonium nitrate output tightens; this line has the largest listed share and the longest replacement lead time.
63% confidenceBP plc →Shortage riskNatural gas wellhead productionBP
The Poltava strike disrupted gas-output capacity, so BP's natural-gas wellhead input becomes scarcer; the edge is real but only modestly weighted by the 3.5% share and partial substitutability.
58% confidenceUralchem / TogliattiAzot (ToAz) →Shortage riskHop 2
Natural gas wellhead production →Shortage riskThis is a direct, critical 1.0-dependency from natural gas wellhead production into home gas supply, so a production outage tightly constrains availability.
97% confidenceAnhydrous Ammonia (MAP / DAP Production) →Shortage riskPotash and phosphate fertilizers
Anhydrous ammonia is a critical, high-dependency input for fertilizer production, so a supply disruption here would directly tighten availability of potash and phosphate fertilizers.
91% confidenceAmmonium Nitrate (AN) — Fertilizer / Mining Explosive →Prices riseHop 3
Fertilizers and crop inputs →Shortage riskNatural Gas (Ammonia/Fertilizer Feedstock Grade)
The destroyed oil-and-gas facility directly tightens natural gas availability, and natural gas is a critical fertilizer feedstock.
93% confidenceFertilizers and crop inputs →Shortage riskElemental Sulfur (from Oil/Gas Processing)
Oil and gas processing is a major source of elemental sulfur, so the facility strike plausibly reduces sulfur supply into fertilizer production.
85% confidenceFertilizers and crop inputs →Shortage riskHop 4
Phosphate Rock (Sedimentary Apatite) →Shortage riskPotash and phosphate fertilizers
Phosphate rock is a critical input to potash and phosphate fertilizers, so disruption at this node directly constrains fertilizer output.
97% confidenceElemental Sulfur (from Oil/Gas Processing) →Shortage riskElemental sulfur is a critical feedstock for fertilizer and crop-input production, so a sulfur supply disruption should tighten downstream output.
94% confidenceSulfuric Acid (Wet Process Phosphoric Acid) →Shortage risk
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Natural gas (home) · Potash and phosphate fertilizers · Fertilizers and crop inputs · Sulfuric acid
In the MyPRIA app, this is checked against your own holdings.