Glamočić: 36,632 pigs dead so far, 930 farms infected
A widespread pig disease outbreak is reducing hog supply and threatening pork production on affected farms.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Commercial Swine Genetics & Boar Semen, we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Commercial Swine Genetics & Boar Semen →Shortage riskCommercial swine genetics and boar semen is a critical upstream input to hog production, so an ASF-driven halt that cuts hog supply should flow through to lower pork and pork-products availability.
90% confidenceHop 2
Pork and pork products →Prices easeCorn Grain (Swine Feed — Primary Energy)
With hog supply and pork output reduced, feed demand from swine production falls sharply, pressuring corn grain prices lower.
90% confidencePork and pork products →Prices easeSoybean Meal (Swine Feed — Primary Protein)
Lower pork production means fewer pigs to feed, so soybean meal demand from swine rations declines.
88% confidencePork and pork products →Prices easeHop 3
Soybean Meal (Swine Feed — Primary Protein) →Prices easeArgentina's large 38% supply share makes it the most exposed to weaker soybean-meal demand and softer prices.
81% confidenceL-Lysine (Essential Amino Acid Supplement) →Prices easeChina accounts for most lysine supply, so weaker hog-feed demand pressures the dominant supply base into lower lysine prices.
80% confidenceSoybean Meal (Swine Feed — Primary Protein) →Prices easeLower pig numbers can reduce soybean-meal demand, putting price pressure on Brazil's 22% share of supply.
Hop 4
Bunge Global SA →Prices easeSoybean Meal (Swine Feed — Primary Protein)
The hog-production halt directly cuts demand for swine-feed soybean meal, which can pressure this Bunge-linked input's price despite the 22% dependency share.
77% confidenceArcher-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) →Prices easeCorn Grain (Swine Feed — Primary Energy)
A hog-supply collapse cuts swine-feed demand, so ADM's corn-grain input faces weaker demand and lower prices.
71% confidenceCargill, Incorporated →Prices ease
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Pork and pork products
In the MyPRIA app, this is checked against your own holdings.