6.8 thousand people left mining; three mines will disappear this year
Mining output is set to fall as three mines shut down this year, tightening supply of mined raw materials.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Bauxite (aluminum ore), we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Bauxite Ore (Primary Aluminum Feedstock) →Shortage riskAluminum and aluminum products
Bauxite is the primary feedstock for aluminum, and this edge has 0.97 dependency strength and is marked critical, so a mine-shutdown-driven bauxite shortfall directly constrains aluminum and aluminum products.
94% confidenceBauxite (aluminum ore) →Shortage riskAluminum and aluminum products
Bauxite is a key feedstock for aluminum, so a production halt tightens the downstream supply of aluminum and aluminum products; the edge strength is moderate (0.4), so I keep the impact below maximal.
88% confidenceRefined Tin →Prices riseHop 2
Aluminum and aluminum products →Shortage riskBauxite Ore (Primary Aluminum Feedstock)
Mine closures tighten bauxite ore supply, and aluminum and aluminum products have a critical 0.97 dependency on this primary feedstock.
97% confidenceChina →Shortage riskChina supplies 98% of gallium, so mine shutdowns there should sharply tighten gallium supply.
93% confidenceChina →Shortage riskChina supplies 95% of terbium metal, so lower Chinese mine output should constrict terbium supply.
Hop 3
Terbium (Tb) Metal →Shortage riskChina accounts for 95% of terbium supply in the graph, so a mine-output cut most directly tightens supply there.
93% confidenceTerbium (Tb) Metal →Shortage riskTerbium is a critical input to rare earth magnets, so reduced Tb availability makes magnet output scarcer.
89% confidenceSterling Silver (Jewelry Grade) →Shortage riskSterling silver is a 60% supply input to jewelry, so a mining-driven silver shortage tightens jewelry availability.
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Aluminum and aluminum products · Canned and shelf-stable foods · Jewelry · Rare earth magnets · Semiconductors and chips
In the MyPRIA app, this is checked against your own holdings.