German authorities reveal losses caused by the cutoff of Russian gas supply
A cut in Russian gas supply constrains natural gas availability to Germany and downstream industrial consumers.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Gazprom (ПАО Газпром), we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Gazprom (ПАО Газпром) →Shortage riskNatural Gas (Pipeline-Grade, >95% Methane)
Gazprom's 8% share of pipeline-grade methane, plus a 48-month replacement lead time, makes the Russian supply cut a direct shortage for this commodity.
88% confidenceGazprom (ПАО Газпром) →Shortage riskNatural Gas (Haber-Bosch Feedstock and Fuel)
Gazprom's 15% share and low substitutability mean the Russian gas cutoff directly reduces Haber-Bosch feedstock and fuel availability for industrial consumers.
83% confidenceGazprom (ПАО Газпром) →Shortage riskHop 2
Natural Gas (Pipeline-Grade, >95% Methane) →Shortage riskRussia's 16% share of natural-gas supply means the cutoff removes a meaningful portion of its gas export stream.
95% confidenceNatural Gas (Pipeline-Grade, >95% Methane) →Shortage riskGazprom (ПАО Газпром)GAZP.MM
Gazprom is a major gas supplier with 8% share and a 48-month replacement horizon, so a Russian gas cutoff materially constrains its sales volume.
93% confidenceR600a Isobutane Refrigerant →Shortage riskHop 3
Russia →Shortage riskUAN Solution (Urea Ammonium Nitrate, 28-32% N)
Russia supplies 53.8% of UAN Solution, so a Russia-side gas cutoff can plausibly tighten availability of this nitrogen-fertilizer input.
67% confidenceHome appliances →Prices easeAs home appliance output is constrained, demand for hermetic compressors used in cooling appliances falls, easing compressor prices.
59% confidenceHome appliances →Prices easeHop 4
Hermetic Compressors (HVAC) →Shortage riskHermetic compressors are a critical input to home appliances, so a compressor shortage directly constrains appliance production.
92% confidenceHermetic Compressors (HVAC) →Shortage riskHVAC systems rely heavily on hermetic compressors, so a shortage at this node propagates to HVAC equipment availability.
90% confidenceNdFeB Rare Earth Magnets →Shortage riskThis is a critical downstream good with very high dependency on NdFeB magnets (0.9), so a magnet shortage should strongly constrain availability.
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Home appliances · HVAC systems and equipment · Computers and laptops · Farm equipment parts
In the MyPRIA app, this is checked against your own holdings.