Power outage leaves 143 wells offline in Al-Sirir and Tazrbu fields
A power cut has taken 143 wells offline, reducing crude oil output from the affected oil fields.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Saudi Aramco, we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Saudi Aramco →Shortage riskThe power outage takes wells offline and cuts Saudi Aramco's crude output, tightening the crude oil feedstock it supplies roughly in line with the 6% market-share edge.
88% confidenceElemental Sulfur (from Oil/Gas Processing) →Shortage riskElemental sulfur is a critical feedstock for sulfuric acid, so reduced sulfur output tightens sulfuric acid supply.
79% confidenceElemental Sulfur (from Oil/Gas Processing) →Shortage riskSulfur is a key input to fertilizer and crop-input production, so a sulfur supply cut can constrain output and availability.
73% confidenceHop 2
Crude Oil Feedstock →Prices riseCrude oil feedstock is a critical, fully dependent input to gasoline and diesel, so a supply reduction pushes their production costs and prices up.
97% confidenceCrude Oil Feedstock →Prices riseHome heating oil is likewise a critical downstream product of crude oil feedstock, so reduced crude output raises its cost and likely its price.
97% confidenceSulfuric acid →Prices easeElemental Sulfur (from Oil/Gas Processing)
If sulfuric acid output is constrained, its demand for elemental sulfur softens, which should दब downward on elemental sulfur prices and availability in the short run.
Hop 3
Sulfuric Acid (H₂SO₄) for Phosphate Fertilizer Production →Shortage riskSulfuric acid is a critical phosphate-fertilizer input, so a supply cut directly tightens the downstream fertilizers and crop inputs sector.
97% confidenceSulfuric Acid (H₂SO₄) for Phosphate Fertilizer Production →Prices riseAs a downstream sulfuric-acid consumer in phosphate fertilizer production, Mosaic faces higher input costs when sulfuric acid supply tightens.
76% confidenceSmelter SO2 off-gas (byproduct acid) →Shortage riskHop 4
China →Shortage riskBecause substantially all third-party suppliers and manufacturers are located in China, a China-side disruption would constrain product supply.
96% confidenceChina →Shortage riskBecause more than half of the goods Ross sells originate from China, a China-side disruption would reduce merchandise availability.
90% confidenceChina →Shortage risk
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Sulfuric acid · Fertilizers and crop inputs · Gasoline and diesel · Home heating oil
In the MyPRIA app, this is checked against your own holdings.