Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia hit oil facilities
Attacks on Saudi oil facilities caused fires and injuries, threatening crude oil production and export flows.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Saudi Aramco, we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Canadian crude oil imports →Shortage riskSaudi Arabia accounts for 4.9% of Canadian crude oil imports, and attacks on Saudi oil facilities threaten export flows, so that import slice becomes scarcer.
88% confidenceSaudi Aramco →Shortage riskThe attack and resulting production disruption at Saudi Aramco’s facilities likely constrain its crude oil feedstock supply, though the size is limited by the commodity’s substitutability and the company’s 6% share on this edge.
76% confidenceMotiva Enterprises LLC →Prices riseGulf Coast crude oil feedstock (jet fraction)
Saudi oil-facility disruptions can tighten crude markets and lift feedstock costs; Motiva’s reliance on this input is modest but not trivial, and replacement takes months.
Hop 2
Saudi Arabia →Shortage riskDiesel and Heavy Fuel Oil (underground mining and backup power)
Saudi Arabia supplies 11% of diesel and heavy fuel oil, so attacks on oil facilities can constrain output and exports.
95% confidenceSaudi Arabia →Shortage riskSaudi Arabia supplies 11.96% of marine diesel and bunker fuel, directly tying refinery outages to tighter supply.
95% confidenceLPG (Liquefied Petroleum Gas — Propane + Butane) →Prices riseHop 3
Bitumen / Asphalt Binder →Shortage riskAsphalt and paving materials have a critical 0.95 dependency on bitumen/asphalt binder, so the Saudi supply shock should transmit as a major downstream shortage.
96% confidenceMixed Natural Gas Liquids (NGL Stream) →Shortage riskHome-use propane is a critical downstream good with near-total dependence on the mixed NGL stream (dependency strength 0.98), so a supply shock should quickly reduce availability.
94% confidenceTarga Resources Corp. →Shortage risk
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Propane (home use) · Asphalt and paving materials · Seafood and fish · Fertilizers and crop inputs · Sulfuric acid · Cement and concrete · Palladium and platinum group metals
In the MyPRIA app, this is checked against your own holdings.