Kanada ABŞ-la ticarət danışıqlarını dayandırdı - Tariflər qüvvəyə minir
The entry into force of tariffs would constrain trade flows between Canada and the United States.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Canadian crude oil imports, we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Canadian crude oil imports →Shortage riskCanada supplies 60.9% of this import stream, so tariffs that halt Canada-U.S. trade would directly shrink Canadian crude exports into the U.S.
93% confidenceCanadian crude oil imports →Prices riseJet fuel depends on this crude import stream with dependency_strength 0.75, so tariffs that constrain the flow should raise its feedstock costs.
84% confidenceHop 2
Canada →Shortage riskSolution Mining Brine Water (Saskatchewan Potash)
Canada is the sole source in the graph for this input, so trade constraints should make it materially scarcer.
95% confidenceCanada →Shortage riskArgon Gas (insulating glass fill)
Canada accounts for 91.5% of supply in the graph, so tariffs would sharply constrain availability.
94% confidenceCanada →Shortage riskUnited States Antimony Corp.UAMY
The company says most of its antimony ore historically comes from one supplier in Canada, so tariffs on Canada could materially squeeze ore supply.
Hop 3
Gulf Coast crude oil feedstock (jet fraction) →Shortage riskThis feedstock is a critical, high-dependency input to jet fuel, so a tariff-driven constraint on its availability should propagate downstream as a supply shortage.
93% confidenceColonial Pipeline transport capacity →Shortage riskColonial Pipeline transport capacity is a critical input to jet fuel supply, so a tariff-driven capacity constraint would directly reduce jet fuel availability.
89% confidenceLinear Alkylbenzene (LAB) →Shortage riskHop 4
Potash and phosphate fertilizers →Prices easeBulk Export Logistics
Tariffs that constrain Canada-US fertilizer trade reduce cross-border shipment volumes, so the bulk export logistics step is less utilized and its economics soften.
62% confidenceCompass Minerals International →Shortage riskSolution Mining Brine Water (Saskatchewan Potash)
If Canada–US tariffs constrain cross-border trade, Compass’s Saskatchewan potash brine input can become scarcer or harder to source, and the 15% share with a 36-month replacement lead time makes the hit material.
62% confidenceColonial Pipeline Company →Shortage risk
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Jet fuel · Cleaning and sanitation supplies · Glass and windows · Potash and phosphate fertilizers
In the MyPRIA app, this is checked against your own holdings.