Food

Soft drinks & juices

Sodas, juices, and sports drinks; domestic bottling with imported juice concentrate and sweeteners.

Why it matters · Beverage prices track aluminum-can, sweetener, and juice-concentrate costs.

8

Inputs

34

Companies

5

Facilities

10

Source countries

How it's made

The process

  1. 01

    Ingredient & Concentrate Sourcing

    Sweeteners (sugar/HFCS), flavor concentrates, juice concentrate (Brazil/Mexico orange), food-grade CO2, and water are sourced.

  2. 02

    Syrup / Batch Preparation

    Concentrate or syrup is blended with sweetener and water to formula; juice is reconstituted from concentrate.

  3. 03

    Carbonation

    For sodas/sparkling, food-grade CO2 is injected under pressure — a step that depends on industrial CO2 byproduct supply.

  4. 04

    Filling & Packaging

    Beverage is filled into aluminum cans, PET bottles or cartons and seamed/capped — the package is often the costliest component.

  5. 05

    QC & Distribution

    Brix, carbonation and food-safety checks; domestic bottling with imported concentrate/sweetener.

Where it comes from

Country dependencies

Weighted share of upstream inputs sourced from each country.

CountryWeighted shareInputs supplied to soft drinks & juices
IEIreland86%Beverage Flavor Concentrate & Syrup
ILIsrael33%Food-Grade Carbon Dioxide (CO2)
BRBrazil30%Aluminum Can Sheet · Orange Juice Concentrate (FCOJ) · Refined Sugar / HFCS Sweetener
USUnited States23%Aluminum Can Sheet · Refined Sugar / HFCS Sweetener
CACanada20%Beverage Caps & Closures (HDPE/Aluminum) · Beverage Flavor Concentrate & Syrup · Food-Grade Carbon Dioxide (CO2) +1
CNChina17%Aluminum Can Sheet · Beverage Caps & Closures (HDPE/Aluminum) · Beverage Flavor Concentrate & Syrup +4
MXMexico15%Beverage Caps & Closures (HDPE/Aluminum) · Orange Juice Concentrate (FCOJ) · PET Bottle Preforms & Blown Bottles +1
EUEuropean Unionno map8%Refined Sugar / HFCS Sweetener
TWTaiwan8%Beverage Caps & Closures (HDPE/Aluminum) · Food-Grade Carbon Dioxide (CO2) · PET Bottle Preforms & Blown Bottles
DEGermany8%Aluminum Can Sheet · Beverage Caps & Closures (HDPE/Aluminum) · PET Bottle Preforms & Blown Bottles

Shipped finished

Top finished-goods sources

Countries that ship finished soft drinks & juices directly to the U.S. — distinct from the upstream raw inputs above.

CountryU.S. importsShare of U.S. imports
BRBrazil$1.4B20%
MXMexico$1.4B20%
CACanada$693M10%
THThailand$439M6%
TRTurkey$377M5%
VNVietnam$251M4%
PHPhilippines$235M3%
ITItaly$200M3%
CNChina$196M3%
ARArgentina$163M2%

Who makes it

Supplier companies

34 companies in this supply chain, sorted by market share.

Undisputed leader in PET preform injection-molding systems and the world’s largest preform mold maker.

Supplies these inputs

PET Bottle Preforms & Blown Bottles

Replaceability

Substitutability 30%

Business segments

  • PET Preform Systems & Molds
  • Hot Runners & Controllers
  • Closures & Medical / Specialty Molding

Makes Coke concentrate at a few select plants worldwide and sells to independent bottlers; the concentrate is the captive moat product.

Supplies these inputs

Beverage Flavor Concentrate & Syrup

Replaceability

Substitutability 20%

Business segments

  • Concentrates & Syrups (the moat)
  • Sparkling Soft Drinks
  • Hydration, Juice, Dairy & Plant
  • Coffee & Tea
Novelis
HQ US38% share

World's largest flat-rolled aluminum company and dominant global can sheet supplier; wholly owned subsidiary of Hindalco Industries (Aditya Birla Group, India). FY2025 total shipments: 3,757 kilotonnes; beverage packaging ~60% of output (~2,250 kt) — a record high. Revenue ~$17.1B. World's largest aluminum recycler (>70 billion cans/year). Acquired Aleris Corporation in April 2020 for $2.8B (required divestitures: Lewisport KY and Duffel Belgium per DOJ/EC). Building a $5B greenfield integrated plant at Bay Minette, Alabama (600,000 MT/year, commissioning H2 2026) — the first fully integrated US aluminum plant in nearly 40 years. JV partner in Alunorf (Neuss, Germany) — the world's largest aluminum casting and rolling plant.

Supplies these inputs

Aluminum Can Sheet

Replaceability

Substitutability 45% · 18 mo to replace

Business segments

  • Beverage Packaging (Can Sheet)55% rev
  • Automotive Body Sheet30% rev
  • Specialty & Aerospace10% rev
  • Recycling Operations5% rev
Krones AG
HQ DE35% share

German maker of PET blow-molding and bottle-filling lines (with Sidel and KHS).

Supplies these inputs

PET Bottle Preforms & Blown Bottles

Replaceability

Substitutability 30%

Business segments

  • Filling & Packaging Lines
  • Process Technology
  • Intralogistics & Digital
Bericap
HQ DE18% share

Global maker of plastic beverage caps and closures, including tethered-cap designs.

Supplies these inputs

Beverage Caps & Closures (HDPE/Aluminum)

Replaceability

Substitutability 50%

Business segments

  • Beverage Closures
  • Food, Edible Oil & Industrial Closures

Major Chinese citric-acid producer (Shandong fermentation cluster).

Supplies these inputs

Citric Acid (Beverage Acidulant)

Replaceability

Substitutability 40%

Business segments

  • Citric Acid & Citrates
  • Gluconates & Fermentation Specialties
  • Bio-Specialties / Co-Products
ALPLA Group
HQ AT12% share

Global PET preform/bottle converter and blow-molder.

Supplies these inputs

PET Bottle Preforms & Blown Bottles

Replaceability

Substitutability 50%

Business segments

  • Rigid Plastic Packaging
  • Caps & Closures
  • Recycling (rPET / rHDPE)
Constellium (CSTM)
HQ FR12% share

NYSE-listed European/North American flat-rolled aluminum company (€10B+ revenue). FY2024: 1.4 million MT total shipments; Packaging & Automotive Rolled Products (P&ARP) segment = 1,027k MT; packaging rolled products (can sheet, closure stock, foil stock) = ~746k MT. Muscle Shoals, Alabama is the US can industry's most complete single facility — the only US plant producing body stock, coated end stock, and tab stock at scale, with the widest strip mill in the US (>1 billion lbs/year). DOD invested $23M via Defense Production Act Title III in Muscle Shoals casting capacity. Also produces aerospace/defense plate at Ravenswood, WV (Airbus, Boeing, NASA).

Supplies these inputs

Aluminum Can Sheet

Replaceability

Substitutability 50% · 12 mo to replace

Business segments

  • Packaging & Automotive Rolled Products (P&ARP)65% rev
  • Aerospace & Transportation (A&T)30% rev
  • Automotive Structures & Industry (AS&I)5% rev
Speira
HQ DE8% share

Formed when Hydro ASA sold its aluminum rolling division; 11 sites across Germany and Norway; ~1 million tonnes/year of rolled aluminum products. Grevenbroich is Europe's largest aluminum refining plant and produces foil as thin as 6 µm for food, pharmaceutical, and HVAC applications. Holmestrand (Norway) specializes in specialty food packaging foil. Key upstream substrate supplier to European butter wrap converters.

Supplies these inputs

Aluminum Can Sheet

Replaceability

Substitutability 52% · 12 mo to replace

Business segments

  • Foil Products (Food & Pharma)35% rev
  • Beverage Can Sheet30% rev
  • Automotive & Transport20% rev
  • Building & Industrial15% rev
TTCA Co., Ltd.
HQ CN8% share

Chinese citric-acid maker (Anqiu, Shandong); >300,000 t/yr capacity.

Supplies these inputs

Citric Acid (Beverage Acidulant)

Replaceability

Substitutability 40%

Business segments

  • Citric Acid & Citrates
  • Fermentation Specialties / Co-Products
Arconic (ARNC)
HQ US7% share

Spun off from Alcoa in 2016; major North American flat-rolled aluminum producer. Re-entered the beverage can sheet market on November 5, 2020 when its non-compete agreement with Alcoa expired — immediately signing $1.5B+ in new can sheet contracts for delivery 2022-2024. Key plants: Davenport Works (world's widest rolling mill at 220 inches; the only source of single-piece aluminum-lithium wing skins for large commercial aircraft), Alcoa TN (primary can sheet re-entry site), Lancaster PA. $175M casthouse expansion at Davenport underway. Arconic's 3-year absence from can sheet (2016-2020) contributed structurally to the 2020-2021 can shortage.

Supplies these inputs

Aluminum Can Sheet

Replaceability

Substitutability 52% · 12 mo to replace

Business segments

  • Rolled Products (Can Sheet & Packaging)45% rev
  • Aerospace Rolled Products35% rev
  • Automotive Rolled Products12% rev
  • Industrial Products8% rev

Japan's largest aluminum rolling company (TSE-listed). Structured supply network: Japanese plants serve domestic market; Tri-Arrows Aluminum (US JV with Norsk Hydro/Speira) at ~450,000 MT/year serves North America; UACJ Thailand at ~320,000 MT/year serves Southeast Asia. Can stock is a core product alongside automotive sheet. Operates JV rolling mills on three continents.

Supplies these inputs

Aluminum Can Sheet

Replaceability

Substitutability 55% · 12 mo to replace

Business segments

  • Flat Rolled Products (Japan & International)65% rev
  • Fabricated Products20% rev
  • Plates & Industrial15% rev
Hulamin (HLM.JO)
HQ ZA3% share

South Africa's only primary aluminum rolling company (JSE-listed); installed capacity ~250,000 MT/year, actual ~200,000 MT/year with ~60% exported. Supplies can body stock, end stock, and tab stock for South Africa's aluminum can market (country switched from steel to aluminum cans) and exports globally to North America, South America, Europe, Middle East, and Asia. Provides an alternative source to the major global rolling companies for mid-tier can makers seeking non-Novelis supply.

Supplies these inputs

Aluminum Can Sheet

Replaceability

Substitutability 60% · 10 mo to replace

Business segments

  • Can Sheet (Beverage Packaging)50% rev
  • Foil & Packaging20% rev
  • Industrial Plate & Sheet20% rev
  • Building & Construction10% rev

World's largest industrial gas company; provides gas odorant distribution and blending services globally including ethyl mercaptan. Air Liquide distributes and markets mercaptan gas odorants to LPG and natural gas utilities. Also a leading producer of industrial gases (oxygen, nitrogen, hydrogen, noble gases) for healthcare, industry, and energy. Air Liquide is listed among the top ethyl mercaptan market participants; primarily as a specialty gas blender/distributor rather than a primary mercaptan chemical producer.

Supplies these inputs

Food-Grade Carbon Dioxide (CO2)

Replaceability

Substitutability 45% · 4 mo to replace

Business segments

  • Industrial Gases45% rev
  • Healthcare — Medical Gases & Home Care (VitalAire)25% rev
  • Gas Safety (Odorant Distribution)5% rev
  • Hydrogen Energy10% rev

American industrial gas and hydrogen infrastructure company (NYSE: APD, HQ Allentown PA; ~$12B revenue); world's 3rd-largest industrial gas company and the leading investor in large-scale green hydrogen projects globally. Air Products produces industrial gases (oxygen, nitrogen, hydrogen, helium) globally and is the operator of several major helium liquefaction plants (including facilities in Wyoming and internationally). Air Products' NEOM clean hydrogen project in Saudi Arabia (joint venture with ACWA Power and NEOM company) — the world's largest planned green hydrogen production facility — will produce green hydrogen (from solar/wind electrolysis) exported as ammonia and ultimately reconverted to hydrogen in global markets. Air Products is the one major industrial gas company most committed to the 'hydrogen economy' vision — its CEO Seifi Ghasemi has publicly stated that Air Products would transform from an industrial gas company into a clean hydrogen infrastructure company. The same company that provides helium to hospital MRI machines is simultaneously building the largest green hydrogen plant on Earth in the Saudi desert.

Supplies these inputs

Food-Grade Carbon Dioxide (CO2)

Replaceability

Substitutability 50% · 4 mo to replace

Business segments

  • Americas Industrial Gases35% rev
  • Hydrogen (Industrial + Clean Energy)35% rev
  • Asia Industrial Gases20% rev
  • Middle East & India / LNG Technology10% rev

Melbourne, Australia-based global flexible and rigid packaging company (NYSE: AMCR). On April 30, 2025, Amcor completed its all-stock acquisition of Berry Global Group for $8.4 billion — creating the world's largest flexible packaging company with ~$23 billion in anticipated annual revenue, 400+ facilities globally, and ~70,000 employees in ~140 countries. Amcor had previously acquired Bemis Company (2019, $6.8B). The combined Amcor+Berry entity holds dominant positions in frozen food LLDPE/LDPE packaging film for IQF vegetables, frozen meat, frozen seafood, and convenience foods. Berry had been a major US blown film producer with multiple facilities. Global flexibles represent ~60% of combined Amcor+Berry's business. Brands include Cryovac (via Sealed Air — separate company), Bemis, and many unbranded OEM films.

Supplies these inputs

PET Bottle Preforms & Blown Bottles

Business segments

  • Flexible Packaging (Food & Beverage)40% rev
  • Medical & Pharmaceutical Packaging25% rev
  • Rigid Packaging20% rev
  • Specialty & Berry Integration15% rev

Global leader in dispensing systems — pumps, sprayers, airless and aerosol valves — for beauty, personal care and pharma. >15% of the cosmetic packaging market; dominant in the functional dispenser.

Supplies these inputs

Beverage Caps & Closures (HDPE/Aluminum)

Business segments

  • Pharma (drug delivery)
  • Beauty
  • Closures (food/beverage/home)

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (Chicago IL; NYSE: ADM; ~$85B revenue FY2023; founded 1902) is the world's largest agricultural commodity processor and a major corn merchandiser supplying livestock feed. ADM's AG Services and Oilseeds segment operates 270+ facilities including corn origination elevators throughout Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Nebraska, and Minnesota. ADM's Animal Nutrition segment produces lysine, threonine, and other amino acid feed additives used in swine feed premixes globally. ADM's corn wet milling operations (Decatur IL flagship plant; Cedar Rapids IA) produce corn starch, corn syrup, corn oil, ethanol, and DDGS (distillers dried grains with solubles) — DDGS is sold as a protein-energy supplement in swine diets at inclusion rates of 10-20%. ADM is simultaneously the largest US corn merchandiser, a producer of DDGS feed ingredients, and a supplier of amino acid additives that enable lower-protein corn-soy diets in hog production. ADM faced a significant accounting investigation in 2023-2024: the company disclosed that its Nutrition segment had misreported results; CEO Juan Luciano resigned in January 2024 amid DOJ/SEC inquiry, creating management uncertainty during a period of corn market volatility.

Supplies these inputs

Refined Sugar / HFCS Sweetener

Replaceability

Substitutability 45% · 4 mo to replace

Business segments

  • Ag Services and Oilseeds50% rev
  • Carbohydrate Solutions25% rev
  • Nutrition20% rev
  • Other5% rev

Where it's made

Facilities

5 facilities producing inputs that feed soft drinks & juices.

Arconic Tennessee Operations

US

Arconic · Alcoa, Tennessee · rolling_mill

Primary site where Arconic re-entered beverage can sheet production upon non-compete expiry (October 31, 2020). $100M+ hot mill capacity expansion added for can and industrial sheet; brought 200 new jobs. Now a key North American can sheet supplier.

Constellium Muscle Shoals Rolling Mill

US

Constellium · Muscle Shoals, Alabama · rolling_mill

Produces >1 billion lbs/year (~453,000 MT) of aluminum coils; the only US mill producing all three can components (body stock, coated end stock, tab stock) at scale. Has the widest strip mill in the US. ~1,250 employees, 100+ acres under roof. DOD invested $23M (Title III Defense Production Act) in 2024 to rebuild direct chill casting center. Struck by 400+ metalworkers December 2020 during peak COVID can shortage. Primary supplier to Ball, Crown, and Ardagh North American operations.

Hulamin Pietermaritzburg Rolling Mill

ZA

Hulamin · Pietermaritzburg, KwaZulu-Natal · rolling_mill

South Africa's only primary aluminum rolling facility; ~250,000 MT/year installed capacity, ~200,000 MT actual. ~60% exported to North America, Europe, Middle East, and Asia. Produces body stock, end stock, and tab stock. JSE-listed.

Novelis Oswego Rolling Mill

US

Novelis · Oswego, New York · rolling_mill

Produces >1 billion lbs/year (~453,000 MT) of aluminum sheet; primary North American can sheet production hub. 240,000-MT capacity expansion announced for can and auto sheet.

Speira Grevenbroich Rolling Mill

DE

Speira · Grevenbroich, North Rhine-Westphalia · rolling_mill

Europe's largest aluminum refining plant; produces foil from 6 µm upward, widths to 2,020 mm. Joint venture Alunorf adjacent (~1.5M tonnes/yr). Primary substrate supplier for European food and pharma foil converters.