Damaged ammonia plant: partial shutdown of fertilizer factory announced
A fertilizer plant shutdown reduces output of ammonia-based fertilizers.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Anhydrous Ammonia (NH₃), we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Anhydrous Ammonia (NH₃) →Shortage riskAmmonia is a critical, high-dependency input to fertilizers and crop inputs, so a plant shutdown tightens supply and reduces downstream output.
94% confidenceAmmonia (NH3) →Shortage riskThe reported Trinidad ammonia shutdown removes a sizeable source from the country's mapped ammonia supply share, leaving less volume available.
89% confidenceAmmonia (NH3) →Shortage riskNutrien Ltd.NTR
A hit to ammonia supply directly constrains Nutrien's ammonia-based fertilizer output, and the Trinidad ammonia site is already reported shut indefinitely.
81% confidenceAmmonia and nitrogen fertilizers →Prices easeNatural Gas (Haber-Bosch Feedstock and Fuel)
A partial shutdown of ammonia/nitrogen fertilizer production cuts use of its highly critical natural-gas feedstock, easing demand pressure and weakening gas prices.
81% confidenceIndustrial Ammonia (Refrigeration) →Shortage riskThe graph shows a strong 0.75 dependency from industrial ammonia refrigeration to seafood and fish, so an ammonia supply hit can reduce cold-storage and processing capacity and constrain availability.
79% confidenceAmmonia (NH3) →Shortage riskCF relies on ammonia as an input, and the six-month replacement horizon with only moderate substitutability means a supply shock should reduce available feedstock.
72% confidenceAmmonia (NH3) →Shortage riskYara's ammonia input is vulnerable to a direct supply disruption, with moderate substitutability and a long replacement lead time limiting quick adjustment.
69% confidenceAmmonia (NH3) →Shortage riskKoch Fertilizer / Koch Ag & Energy Solutions
Koch has a meaningful ammonia supply exposure, so a partial shutdown can tighten its input availability even though substitution is possible over time.
66% confidenceHop 2
CF Industries Holdings →Shortage riskCHS is CF Industries' largest disclosed customer at about 13% of consolidated net sales, so a partial fertilizer-plant shutdown tightens supply to that customer.
89% confidenceFertilizers and crop inputs →Prices easeNatural Gas (Ammonia/Fertilizer Feedstock Grade)
A partial ammonia/fertilizer shutdown cuts feedgas consumption for Haber-Bosch production, easing demand for ammonia-grade natural gas and दबressing its price.
88% confidenceTrinidad and Tobago →Shortage riskHop 3
UAN Solution (Urea Ammonium Nitrate, 28-32% N) →Shortage riskAmmonia and nitrogen fertilizers
UAN solution is itself an ammonia-based nitrogen fertilizer, so a partial shutdown in its production directly tightens supply of the broader ammonia/nitrogen fertilizer category.
95% confidenceUrea Nitrogen Fertilizer (46-0-0) →Shortage riskRice production is highly dependent on urea fertilizer as a critical input, so a urea output shock is likely to tighten rice supply.
94% confidenceAnhydrous Ammonia (MAP / DAP Production) →Shortage riskHop 4
Yara International →Prices easeNatural Gas (Ammonia/Fertilizer Feedstock Grade)
Yara's partial fertilizer shutdown lowers demand for ammonia-feedstock natural gas, easing prices on that input.
68% confidenceOCI N.V. →supply upNatural Gas (Ammonia/Fertilizer Feedstock Grade)
OCI's partial fertilizer shutdown cuts feedstock demand for ammonia-grade natural gas, making more of that input available to the market; the effect is modest because OCI's share is only 2%.
66% confidenceOCI N.V. →supply up
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Fertilizers and crop inputs · Seafood and fish · Ammonia and nitrogen fertilizers · Rice · Potash and phosphate fertilizers
In the MyPRIA app, this is checked against your own holdings.