A 1,200-kilometer oil artery attacked: key oil pipeline closed
A major oil pipeline closure can interrupt crude transport and tighten regional supply.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Colonial Pipeline transport capacity, we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Colonial Pipeline transport capacity →Shortage riskThis is a near-direct dependency with a sole-qualified supplier flag, 45% share, very low substitutability, and a 36-month replacement lead time, so the shutdown should severely constrain capacity.
96% confidenceColonial Pipeline transport capacity →Shortage riskJet fuel is marked as a critical downstream good with 0.9 dependency strength, so reduced pipeline throughput should make it scarcer.
92% confidenceColonial Pipeline transport capacity →Shortage riskThe graph assigns a 92% country share to the United States, so the closure should materially tighten U.S. supply availability.
Hop 2
Crude Oil Feedstock →Shortage riskHome heating oil is also a critical, fully dependent downstream product of crude oil feedstock, so reduced crude transport should constrain supply.
99% confidenceCrude Oil Feedstock →Shortage riskCrude oil feedstock is a critical, 1.0-strength input to gasoline and diesel, so a pipeline closure should directly tighten their availability.
99% confidenceColonial Pipeline Company →Shortage riskHop 3
Gulf Coast crude oil feedstock (jet fraction) →Shortage riskThis feedstock is a critical 95% input to jet fuel, so a pipeline closure that tightens feedstock supply should directly constrain jet fuel availability.
97% confidenceMixed Natural Gas Liquids (NGL Stream) →Shortage riskPropane home use is marked as a critical downstream use of the NGL stream, so a supply interruption should pass through sharply as a shortage.
90% confidenceElemental Sulfur (from Oil/Gas Processing) →Shortage risk
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Jet fuel · Home heating oil · Gasoline and diesel · Propane (home use) · Fertilizers and crop inputs · Sulfuric acid · Cement and concrete
In the MyPRIA app, this is checked against your own holdings.