En ukrainer mistænkt for Nord Stream-sabotage er anholdt i Kroatien
The Nord Stream sabotage reference points to disruption risk for the gas pipeline carrying Russian natural gas to Europe.
Source →The trace
How it reaches your house.
Starting from Gazprom (ПАО Газпром), we walked the supply graph hop by hop to the goods you buy and the companies you own. Each step is the engine’s reasoning, scored for confidence and cited where a source backs it.
First impact
Gazprom (ПАО Газпром) →Shortage riskRussian gas exports to Europe
Nord Stream was a major Gazprom-owned route, and the sabotage cut off Russian gas exports to Europe, reducing the flow Gazprom can send.
“cutting off a major route for Russian gas exports to Europe”
90% confidenceCited →Equinor ASA →Prices riseNatural GasEQNR
The Nord Stream sabotage tightens European natural-gas supply, which can raise the price of Equinor’s natural-gas input even though the company can still source elsewhere.
64% confidenceBP plc →Stands to benefitHop 2
Natural Gas (Haber-Bosch Feedstock and Fuel) →Shortage riskAmmonia and nitrogen fertilizers
Natural gas is the critical Haber-Bosch feedstock and fuel, so a supply disruption directly tightens fertilizer output and availability.
98% confidenceNatural Gas (Haber-Bosch Feedstock and Fuel) →Prices riseWith a large gas-input share and low substitutability, the pipeline disruption is likely to raise Yara's feedstock costs materially.
90% confidenceNatural gas wellhead production →Shortage riskHop 3
Yara International ASA →Shortage riskYara's gas-intensive ammonia output is directly constrained by the pipeline disruption, making ammonia less available.
86% confidenceYara International ASA →Shortage riskAnhydrous Ammonia (MAP / DAP Production)
Ammonia availability is the bottleneck for this MAP/DAP-related product, and the 15% market share plus short replacement lead time make the effect meaningful.
81% confidenceYara International ASA →Shortage riskHop 4
Interstate natural gas transmission pipelines →Shortage riskResidential gas depends critically on interstate transmission pipelines, so a major incident tightens household supply.
94% confidenceInterstate natural gas transmission pipelines →Shortage riskThe national market is fully exposed to this pipeline network, so a severe disruption constrains U.S. gas supply.
90% confidenceUrea Nitrogen Fertilizer (46-0-0) →Shortage riskUrea nitrogen fertilizer is a critical input for rice production, so a urea supply squeeze can reduce rice output and tighten availability.
Where it lands
What you buy, and what you own.
Goods you buy
Ammonia and nitrogen fertilizers · Natural gas (home) · Rice · Fertilizers and crop inputs · Gasoline and diesel
In the MyPRIA app, this is checked against your own holdings.